UEFA Champions League · Jul 14, 2026 19:00
Riga FC PWR 11
Ararat-Armenia PWR 90
Riga FC PWR 11
VS
Ararat-Armenia PWR 90
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Ararat-Armenia Win
Score
?
Confidence
42%
Tier
STANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (30%)0-0 (27%)2-0 (16%)1-1 (6%)3-0 (6%)0-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.62x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.65x
Over 2.5
14%
Under 2.5
86%
86%
BTTS
No
No 13%
Over 3.5
19%
Team Comparison
0Attack70
30Defense100
Goals/G
0.02.0
Conc/G
2.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Riga FC
WLWWD
STABLE
Ararat-Armenia
WDWWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy56%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUMAWAY_POSITION_GAP
Full data available (Tier 1)Consider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (25.0%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
1.10
Riga FCvs
0.21
Ararat-ArmeniaGoal Probability
Riga FC
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
7%
4
2%
Ararat-Arme…
0
81%
1
17%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (15%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (11%)0-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 66% | 34% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 39% | 61% | - |
| 3.5 | 19% | 81% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#117
Riga FC-47
Gap#70
Ararat-Arme…
WR 0% 0 pts
WR 100% 3 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riga FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| Ararat-Armenia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
Riga FC
14.0%
| Jul 10 | Riga FC v Leevon … | 2-3 |
| Jul 07 | Riga FC v Ararat-… | 2-0 |
| Jul 03 | Riga FC v FS Jelg… | 3-0 |
| Jun 29 | Riga FC v Auda | 0-2 |
| Jun 25 | Riga FC v BFC Dau… | 0-0 |
| Jun 21 | Riga FC v FK Liep… | 4-0 |
| Jun 17 | Riga FC v RÄ«gas FS | 2-1 |
| Jun 13 | Riga FC v Ogre Un… | 1-4 |
| May 29 | Riga FC v Grobiņa | 2-0 |
| May 24 | Riga FC v Super N… | 3-0 |
Ararat-Armenia
14.0%
| Jul 07 | Ararat-… v Riga FC | 2-0 |
| Jun 27 | Ararat-… v Vojvodi… | 1-1 |
| May 27 | Ararat-… v Gandzas… | 1-0 |
| May 17 | Ararat-… v BKMA | 2-3 |
| May 10 | Ararat-… v Artsakh | 0-4 |
| May 06 | Ararat-… v Pyunik … | 1-0 |
| May 03 | Ararat-… v Banants… | 0-2 |
| Apr 29 | Ararat-… v Artsakh | 0-0 |
| Apr 25 | Ararat-… v Ararat | 4-0 |
| Apr 20 | Ararat-… v Shirak | 0-4 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Jul 07, 2026 | Ararat-Armenia | 2-0 | Riga FC |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
79%
Standings
50%
Market
41%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Riga FC in strong form (3W in last 5)
Ararat-Armenia in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.