Primera División - Apertura · Jul 11, 2026 18:00
Danubio PWR 35
Club Nacional PWR 38
Danubio PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Club Nacional PWR 38
29%
28%
43%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
Tier
STANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (10%)2-1 (10%)1-0 (9%)1-1 (8%)3-0 (8%)3-1 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
2.07x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.36x
Over 2.5
60%
60%
Under 2.5
40%
BTTS
Yes 55%
Over 3.5
29%
Team Comparison
0Attack10
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.01.5
Danubio
DDLLL
STABLE
Club Nacional
WLWWD
STABLE
Squad & Player Stats
Danubio
Club Nacion…
| # | Player | Pos | App | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No player data | |||||||
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Apertura
Expected Goals (xG)
2.34
Danubiovs
0.94
Club NacionalGoal Probability
Danubio
0
10%
1
23%
2
26%
3
21%
4
12%
Club Nacion…
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (12%)0-1 (10%)1-2 (9%)1-0 (8%)2-1 (8%)0-2 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 51% | 49% | - |
| 3.5 | 29% | 71% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#11
Danubio-4
Gap#7
Club Nacion…
WR 29% 18 pts
WR 50% 22 pts
Danubio
4.0%
| Jul 05 | Danubio v Juventud | 1-1 |
| Jun 05 | Danubio v Wandere… | 0-0 |
| May 30 | Danubio v Progreso | 1-2 |
| May 18 | Danubio v Deporti… | 3-1 |
| May 09 | Danubio v Albion … | 0-1 |
| May 02 | Danubio v Liverpo… | 3-0 |
| Apr 25 | Danubio v Club Na… | 1-2 |
| Apr 19 | Danubio v Deporti… | 1-1 |
| Apr 12 | Danubio v Central… | 2-2 |
| Apr 04 | Danubio v Atletic… | 1-1 |
Club Nacional
14.0%
| Jun 06 | Club Na… v Juventud | 2-1 |
| May 31 | Club Na… v Deporti… | 3-0 |
| May 27 | Club Na… v Coquimb… | 1-0 |
| May 23 | Club Na… v Albion … | 1-0 |
| May 21 | Club Na… v Univers… | 0-0 |
| May 15 | Club Na… v Atletic… | 1-2 |
| May 10 | Club Na… v Cerro | 4-0 |
| May 07 | Club Na… v Deporte… | 3-0 |
| May 03 | Club Na… v Albion … | 3-2 |
| Apr 30 | Club Na… v Univers… | 4-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Apr 25, 2026 | Club Nacional | 1-2 | Danubio |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Danubio | 0-0 | Club Nacional |
| Jun 29, 2025 | Club Nacional | 3-2 | Danubio |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Club Nacional | 2-0 | Danubio |
| Nov 28, 2024 | Danubio | 0-0 | Club Nacional |
| Jul 13, 2024 | Danubio | 0-6 | Club Nacional |
| May 25, 2024 | Club Nacional | 1-0 | Danubio |
| Nov 16, 2023 | Club Nacional | 1-3 | Danubio |
| Apr 09, 2023 | Danubio | 0-0 | Club Nacional |
| Oct 23, 2022 | Club Nacional | 2-0 | Danubio |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
85%
Standings
42%
Market
35%
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Club Nacional in strong form (3W in last 5)
Danubio struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.