Primera División - Apertura · Jul 11, 2026 21:00
Wanderers PWR 35
Progreso PWR 35
Wanderers PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Progreso PWR 35
57%
23%
20%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Wanderers to win (63% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
63%
Tier
STANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (29%)0-0 (25%)2-0 (17%)1-1 (7%)3-0 (7%)0-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
17%
Under 2.5
83%
83%
BTTS
No
No 14%
Over 3.5
20%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Wanderers
DWDDW
STABLE
Progreso
LWLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Apertura
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Wanderersvs
0.23
ProgresoGoal Probability
Wanderers
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Progreso
0
80%
1
18%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (17%)2-0 (14%)1-1 (11%)0-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)3-0 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 67% | 33% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 40% | 60% | - |
| 3.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#10
Wanderers+5
Gap#15
Progreso
WR 50% 20 pts
WR 14% 10 pts
Wanderers
14.0%
| Jun 05 | Wandere… v Danubio | 0-0 |
| May 31 | Wandere… v Juventud | 2-5 |
| May 24 | Wandere… v Deporti… | 1-1 |
| May 17 | Wandere… v Albion … | 0-0 |
| May 08 | Wandere… v Liverpo… | 1-0 |
| May 02 | Wandere… v Juventud | 2-1 |
| Apr 26 | Wandere… v Peñarol… | 1-0 |
| Apr 18 | Wandere… v Progreso | 2-1 |
| Apr 12 | Wandere… v Racing … | 1-2 |
| Apr 03 | Wandere… v Boston … | 4-1 |
Progreso
4.0%
| Jun 07 | Progreso v Albion … | 1-2 |
| May 30 | Progreso v Danubio | 1-2 |
| May 23 | Progreso v Atletic… | 1-2 |
| May 16 | Progreso v Juventud | 2-0 |
| May 10 | Progreso v Atletic… | 2-1 |
| May 03 | Progreso v Cerro L… | 0-1 |
| Apr 27 | Progreso v Defenso… | 1-0 |
| Apr 18 | Progreso v Wandere… | 2-1 |
| Apr 12 | Progreso v Juventud | 1-0 |
| Apr 04 | Progreso v Peñarol… | 0-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Apr 18, 2026 | Progreso | 2-1 | Wanderers |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Progreso | 2-0 | Wanderers |
| Mar 27, 2025 | Wanderers | 1-1 | Progreso |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Progreso | 0-0 | Wanderers |
| Jul 14, 2024 | Wanderers | 4-2 | Progreso |
| May 04, 2024 | Wanderers | 2-0 | Progreso |
| Nov 15, 2021 | Progreso | 3-1 | Wanderers |
| Jul 31, 2021 | Wanderers | 2-0 | Progreso |
| Mar 21, 2021 | Wanderers | 1-3 | Progreso |
| Sep 20, 2020 | Progreso | 3-0 | Wanderers |
Decision Breakdown
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
79%
Standings
70%
Market
50%
High draw risk (52%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Progreso struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.