Primera DivisiĂłn - Apertura · Jul 12, 2026 15:00
Liverpool Montevi… PWR 35
Cerro PWR 35
Liverpool Montevi… PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Cerro PWR 35
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: Liverpool Montevideo to win (95% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
95%
Tier
Strong Pick
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (18%)1-0 (15%)3-0 (14%)2-1 (7%)0-0 (7%)1-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
83%
Home/Draw
1.27x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.4x
Over 2.5
48%
Under 2.5
52%
BTTS
No
No 29%
Over 3.5
11%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Liverpool Mont…
DWDLL
STABLE
Cerro
LLWLL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Apertura
Expected Goals (xG)
2.34
Liverpool Mont…vs
0.39
CerroGoal Probability
Liverpool M…
0
10%
1
23%
2
26%
3
21%
4
12%
Cerro
0
68%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (23%)0-0 (17%)2-0 (16%)1-1 (9%)3-0 (8%)0-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 84% | 17% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 54% | 46% | - |
| 2.5 | 27% | 73% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#9
Liverpool M…+7
Gap#16
Cerro
WR 29% 20 pts
WR 0% 10 pts
Liverpool Mont…
8.0%
| Jun 08 | Liverpo… v Cerro L… | 0-0 |
| Jun 01 | Liverpo… v Boston … | 0-1 |
| May 22 | Liverpo… v Racing … | 0-0 |
| May 16 | Liverpo… v Peñarol… | 2-1 |
| May 08 | Liverpo… v Wandere… | 1-0 |
| May 02 | Liverpo… v Danubio | 3-0 |
| Apr 25 | Liverpo… v Juventud | 1-1 |
| Apr 19 | Liverpo… v Club Na… | 1-3 |
| Apr 13 | Liverpo… v Peñarol… | 0-2 |
| Apr 05 | Liverpo… v Deporti… | 0-2 |
Cerro
4.0%
| Jun 07 | Cerro v Peñarol… | 0-1 |
| May 29 | Cerro v Cerro L… | 2-0 |
| May 24 | Cerro v Central… | 1-0 |
| May 16 | Cerro v Boston … | 4-1 |
| May 10 | Cerro v Club Na… | 4-0 |
| May 02 | Cerro v Deporti… | 0-1 |
| Apr 26 | Cerro v Central… | 3-1 |
| Apr 19 | Cerro v Atletic… | 1-1 |
| Apr 10 | Cerro v Cerro L… | 1-1 |
| Apr 05 | Cerro v Defenso… | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Feb 20, 2026 | Cerro | 1-1 | Liverpool Mon… |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Cerro | 2-1 | Liverpool Mon… |
| May 25, 2025 | Liverpool Mon… | 0-0 | Cerro |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Liverpool Mon… | 2-1 | Cerro |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Cerro | 1-3 | Liverpool Mon… |
| Jul 21, 2024 | Liverpool Mon… | 0-1 | Cerro |
| Jun 03, 2024 | Liverpool Mon… | 0-3 | Cerro |
| Nov 24, 2023 | Cerro | 0-1 | Liverpool Mon… |
| Jul 08, 2023 | Cerro | 1-0 | Liverpool Mon… |
| Apr 24, 2023 | Liverpool Mon… | 1-1 | Cerro |
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
93%
Standings
69%
Market
60%
High draw risk (47%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Cerro struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.