Primera División - Apertura · Jul 13, 2026 22:00
Cerro Largo PWR 35
Defensor Sporting PWR 35
Cerro Largo PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Defensor Sporting PWR 35
55%
23%
22%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
Tier
STANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (18%)1-0 (18%)3-0 (12%)0-0 (9%)2-1 (7%)1-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
41%
Under 2.5
59%
BTTS
No
No 28%
Over 3.5
8%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Cerro Largo
DWWLL
STABLE
Defensor Sport…
LDDLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Apertura
Expected Goals (xG)
2.01
Cerro Largovs
0.39
Defensor Sport…Goal Probability
Cerro Largo
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
Defensor Sp…
0
68%
1
26%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (22%)0-0 (20%)2-0 (12%)1-1 (11%)0-1 (10%)2-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 80% | 20% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 48% | 52% | - |
| 2.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#12
Cerro Largo-4
Gap#8
Defensor Sp…
WR 29% 17 pts
WR 13% 21 pts
Cerro Largo
10.0%
| Jun 08 | Cerro L… v Liverpo… | 0-0 |
| May 29 | Cerro L… v Cerro | 2-0 |
| May 23 | Cerro L… v Boston … | 3-0 |
| May 17 | Cerro L… v Racing … | 1-0 |
| May 11 | Cerro L… v Peñarol… | 2-3 |
| May 03 | Cerro L… v Progreso | 0-1 |
| Apr 26 | Cerro L… v Racing … | 0-1 |
| Apr 20 | Cerro L… v Boston … | 1-0 |
| Apr 10 | Cerro L… v Cerro | 1-1 |
| Apr 05 | Cerro L… v Albion … | 2-2 |
Defensor Sport…
4.0%
| Jul 04 | Defenso… v Cruzeiro | 2-0 |
| Jun 07 | Defenso… v Boston … | 1-1 |
| May 30 | Defenso… v Racing … | 0-0 |
| May 24 | Defenso… v Peñarol… | 0-2 |
| May 17 | Defenso… v Central… | 2-1 |
| May 10 | Defenso… v Juventud | 1-2 |
| May 04 | Defenso… v Peñarol… | 1-1 |
| Apr 27 | Defenso… v Progreso | 1-0 |
| Apr 18 | Defenso… v Racing … | 1-1 |
| Apr 11 | Defenso… v Boston … | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Feb 21, 2026 | Defensor Spor… | 1-0 | Cerro Largo |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Cerro Largo | 1-0 | Defensor Spor… |
| May 25, 2025 | Defensor Spor… | 3-2 | Cerro Largo |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Defensor Spor… | 0-0 | Cerro Largo |
| Nov 27, 2024 | Cerro Largo | 3-0 | Defensor Spor… |
| May 26, 2024 | Cerro Largo | 3-1 | Defensor Spor… |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Defensor Spor… | 2-0 | Cerro Largo |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Cerro Largo | 0-3 | Defensor Spor… |
| Jan 25, 2023 | Defensor Spor… | 0-1 | Cerro Largo |
| Sep 16, 2022 | Defensor Spor… | 0-1 | Cerro Largo |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
88%
Standings
42%
Market
50%
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Defensor Sporting struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.