Back Stats
Primera DivisiĂłn - Apertura · Jul 18, 2026 15:30

Progreso PWR 35
1-1
predicted

Deportivo Maldona… PWR 35
29% 28% 43%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
Tier STANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-1 (13%)0-2 (12%)1-1 (11%)1-2 (10%)0-3 (7%)0-0 (7%)
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
Over 2.5
49%
Under 2.5
51%
BTTS
No 48%
Over 3.5
33%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Progreso LWLLL
STABLE
Deportivo Mald… DWWDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Apertura
Expected Goals (xG)
0.84
Progreso
vs
1.82
Deportivo Mald…
Goal Probability
Progreso
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
Deportivo M…
0
16%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
CORRECT SCORES
0-2 (13%)0-1 (12%)0-3 (10%)1-2 (9%)1-1 (9%)1-3 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 95% 6% OVER
1.5 79% 22% OVER
2.5 55% 45% -
3.5 33% 67% UNDER
4.5 17% 83% UNDER
5.5 7% 93% UNDER
6.5 3% 97% UNDER
League Position
#15
Progreso
-13
Gap
#2
Deportivo M…
WR 13% 10 pts WR 38% 29 pts
Progreso 4.0%
Jun 07 Progreso v Albion … 1-2
May 30 Progreso v Danubio 1-2
May 23 Progreso v Atletic… 1-2
May 16 Progreso v Juventud 2-0
May 10 Progreso v Atletic… 2-1
May 03 Progreso v Cerro L… 0-1
Apr 27 Progreso v Defenso… 1-0
Apr 18 Progreso v Wandere… 2-1
Apr 12 Progreso v Juventud 1-0
Apr 04 Progreso v Peñarol… 0-2
Deportivo Mald… 16.0%
Jul 10 Deporti… v Albion … 1-1
Jun 06 Deporti… v Atletic… 2-4
May 31 Deporti… v Club Na… 3-0
May 24 Deporti… v Wandere… 1-1
May 18 Deporti… v Danubio 3-1
May 11 Deporti… v Boston … 2-1
May 02 Deporti… v Cerro 0-1
Apr 25 Deporti… v Albion … 1-2
Apr 19 Deporti… v Danubio 1-1
Apr 11 Deporti… v Club Na… 4-2
Head-to-Head (2)
Feb 14, 2026 Deportivo Mal… 2-0 Progreso
Jul 21, 2024 Progreso 0-1 Deportivo Mal…
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
35%
Standings
30%
Market
50%
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Deportivo Maldonado in strong form (3W in last 5)
Progreso struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.