Copa Chile · Jul 12, 2026 21:30
Concepción PWR 29
Deportes Puerto M… PWR 47
Concepción PWR 29
1-2
predicted
Deportes Puerto M… PWR 47
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
MASTER: Deportes Puerto Montt to win (76% confidence)
Score
1-2
Confidence
76%
Tier
MASTER
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (13%)1-0 (12%)2-1 (9%)3-0 (9%)1-1 (9%)3-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
BTTS
No 46%
Over 3.5
28%
Team Comparison
35Attack50
23Defense55
Goals/G
1.01.4
Conc/G
2.21.3
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Concepción
WWLWD
STABLE
Deportes Puert…
WWWDL
UP
Squad & Player Stats
Concepción
Deportes Pu…
| # | Player | Pos | App | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | Joaquín Larrivey | For | 6.75 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Diego Carrasco | Def | 6.71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Nicolás Araya | Goa | 6.68 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Norman Rodríguez | Def | 6.67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Misael Dávila | Mid | 6.65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Nelson Sepúlveda | Mid | 6.65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Matías Cavalleri | Mid | 6.34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Leonardo Valencia | Mid | 6.33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Cristián Suárez | Def | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Fausto Grillo | Def | 6.29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Aldrix Jara | Mid | 6.28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Mario Sandoval | Mid | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Ethan Espinoza | Mid | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Javier Rojas | Def | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Bastian Escobar | For | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Ángel Gillard | For | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Jorge Henríquez | Mid | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Ignacio Mesías | For | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Nery Veloso | Goa | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Brayan Véjar | Mid | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk29%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityH2H: 1/3 draws (33%) = HIGH risk
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.0
Expected Goals (xG)
2.19
Concepciónvs
0.73
Deportes Puert…Goal Probability
Concepción
0
11%
1
25%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Deportes Pu…
0
48%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (12%)1-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)0-1 (8%)2-0 (8%)1-2 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 50% | 50% | - |
| 3.5 | 28% | 72% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#32
Concepción-10
Gap#22
Deportes Pu…
WR 30% 11 pts
WR 36% 19 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Concepción | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 22 | 11 |
| Deportes Puer… | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 19 |
Concepción
14.0%
| Jul 06 | Concepc… v Deporte… | 2-0 |
| Jul 02 | Concepc… v Huachip… | 1-2 |
| Jun 29 | Concepc… v Deporte… | 2-0 |
| Jun 24 | Concepc… v Huachip… | 3-2 |
| Jun 21 | Concepc… v Deporte… | 1-1 |
| Jun 14 | Concepc… v Deporte… | 3-2 |
| Jun 06 | Concepc… v Coquimb… | 1-2 |
| May 30 | Concepc… v Univers… | 2-1 |
| May 24 | Concepc… v Huachip… | 2-0 |
| May 18 | Concepc… v Everton… | 0-2 |
Deportes Puert…
14.0%
| Jul 05 | Deporte… v Huachip… | 2-1 |
| Jun 29 | Deporte… v Concepc… | 2-0 |
| Jun 21 | Deporte… v Huachip… | 0-2 |
| Jun 06 | Deporte… v Cobreloa | 1-1 |
| May 30 | Deporte… v Union S… | 1-0 |
| May 24 | Deporte… v San Mar… | 0-2 |
| May 17 | Deporte… v San Lui… | 4-1 |
| May 09 | Deporte… v Magalla… | 2-0 |
| May 03 | Deporte… v Rangers… | 0-1 |
| Apr 26 | Deporte… v Curicó … | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Jun 29, 2026 | Deportes Puer… | 2-0 | Concepción |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Concepción | 1-0 | Deportes Puer… |
| Mar 30, 2024 | Deportes Puer… | 1-1 | Concepción |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
86%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Concepción in strong form (3W in last 5)
Deportes Puerto Montt in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.