Copa Venezuela · Jul 12, 2026 20:00
Aragua FC PWR 35
Caracas FC PWR 35
Aragua FC PWR 35
1-0
predicted
Caracas FC PWR 35
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Aragua FC to win (61% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
61%
Tier
STANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (11%)1-0 (11%)2-1 (10%)1-1 (9%)3-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
56%
Under 2.5
44%
BTTS
Yes 51%
Over 3.5
13%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Aragua FC
DLWWD
STABLE
Caracas FC
DLDWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 2/7 draws (29%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent games
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.0
Expected Goals (xG)
2.18
Aragua FCvs
0.85
Caracas FCGoal Probability
Aragua FC
0
11%
1
25%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
Caracas FC
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (18%)0-0 (15%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (11%)0-1 (10%)2-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 85% | 15% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 57% | 43% | - |
| 2.5 | 30% | 70% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Aragua FC-1
Gap#2
Caracas FC
WR 0% 1 pts
WR 0% 1 pts
Aragua FC
12.0%
| Jun 24 | Aragua … v Caracas… | 1-1 |
| Jun 06 | Aragua … v Monagas… | 1-2 |
| May 31 | Aragua … v Dinamo … | 1-2 |
| May 23 | Aragua … v Mineros… | 2-0 |
| May 16 | Aragua … v MarĂtimo | 0-0 |
| May 09 | Aragua … v Atletic… | 1-1 |
| May 03 | Aragua … v BolĂvar | 0-0 |
| Apr 25 | Aragua … v Petare | 1-0 |
| Apr 12 | Aragua … v Monagas… | 1-0 |
| Apr 04 | Aragua … v Dinamo … | 1-1 |
Caracas FC
10.0%
| Jun 24 | Caracas… v Aragua … | 1-1 |
| May 28 | Caracas… v Botafogo | 1-3 |
| May 22 | Caracas… v Racing … | 2-2 |
| May 06 | Caracas… v Indepen… | 2-3 |
| Apr 30 | Caracas… v Racing … | 1-1 |
| Apr 25 | Caracas… v Rayo Zu… | 2-1 |
| Apr 20 | Caracas… v Zamora | 1-1 |
| Apr 16 | Caracas… v Indepen… | 1-0 |
| Apr 13 | Caracas… v Academi… | 1-3 |
| Apr 10 | Caracas… v Botafogo | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (7)
| Jun 24, 2026 | Caracas FC | 1-1 | Aragua FC |
| Jun 25, 2025 | Caracas FC | 4-0 | Aragua FC |
| Jun 18, 2025 | Aragua FC | 2-1 | Caracas FC |
| Sep 18, 2022 | Aragua FC | 4-2 | Caracas FC |
| Feb 26, 2022 | Caracas FC | 1-0 | Aragua FC |
| Dec 08, 2020 | Aragua FC | 0-0 | Caracas FC |
| Nov 12, 2020 | Caracas FC | 0-1 | Aragua FC |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
84%
Standings
48%
Market
50%
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.