Belarus Cup · Jul 18, 2026 17:00
Ostrovets FC PWR 42
FC Vitebsk PWR 36
Ostrovets FC PWR 42
2-1
predicted
FC Vitebsk PWR 36
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Ostrovets FC to win (50% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
50%
Tier
STANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (19%)0-1 (19%)1-0 (13%)1-1 (12%)0-2 (10%)1-2 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
23%
Under 2.5
77%
77%
BTTS
No
No 30%
Over 3.5
33%
Team Comparison
60Attack32
51Defense55
Goals/G
1.70.9
Conc/G
1.41.3
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Ostrovets FC
DDDLD
STABLE
FC Vitebsk
WDLWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
Limited data available (Tier 3)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team drew 4/5 recent games
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.1 | Tier 3 data without strong odds (need 85%+)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.65
Ostrovets FCvs
0.99
FC VitebskGoal Probability
Ostrovets FC
0
52%
1
34%
2
11%
3
2%
4
0%
FC Vitebsk
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (11%)1-0 (11%)2-1 (10%)1-1 (10%)3-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 79% | 21% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 56% | 44% | - |
| 3.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 8% | 93% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
Ostrovets FC
8.0%
| Jul 10 | Ostrove… v FC Ener… | 1-1 |
| Jul 04 | Ostrove… v FC Slut… | 1-1 |
| Jun 28 | Ostrove… v Dinamo … | 1-1 |
| Jun 20 | Ostrove… v Shakhte… | 4-1 |
| Jun 13 | Ostrove… v Slonim | 1-1 |
| Jun 06 | Ostrove… v BATE II | 0-0 |
| May 31 | Ostrove… v Uni Min… | 3-2 |
| May 27 | Ostrove… v Krechet | 0-8 |
| May 23 | Ostrove… v Molodec… | 2-3 |
| May 15 | Ostrove… v Gomel II | 0-0 |
FC Vitebsk
10.0%
| Jul 04 | FC Vite… v FC Dnep… | 1-0 |
| Jun 27 | FC Vite… v Dinamo … | 1-1 |
| Jun 20 | FC Vite… v Dinamo … | 1-2 |
| Jun 13 | FC Vite… v MKK-Dne… | 1-2 |
| May 31 | FC Vite… v Baranov… | 2-3 |
| May 23 | FC Vite… v FC Islo… | 3-0 |
| May 17 | FC Vite… v Torpedo… | 1-1 |
| May 09 | FC Vite… v Belshina | 1-0 |
| May 03 | FC Vite… v Slavia … | 0-0 |
| Apr 25 | FC Vite… v Naftan | 1-1 |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
47%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.