Belarus Cup · Jul 18, 2026 17:00
Smorgon PWR 57
FC Minsk PWR 43
Smorgon PWR 57
2-1
predicted
FC Minsk PWR 43
47%
25%
28%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Smorgon to win (50% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
50%
Tier
STANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (12%)0-1 (11%)1-2 (9%)0-2 (9%)1-0 (7%)0-0 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
48%
Under 2.5
52%
BTTS
Yes 51%
Over 3.5
59%
59%
Team Comparison
77Attack46
51Defense51
Goals/G
2.21.3
Conc/G
1.41.4
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Smorgon
DLWLW
STABLE
FC Minsk
WLDDD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk33%
Accuracy38%
Limited data available (Tier 3)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateH2H: 4/10 draws (40%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 3/5 recent games = VERY HIGH draw risk
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.1 | Tier 3 data without strong odds (need 85%+)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.04
Smorgonvs
1.59
FC MinskGoal Probability
Smorgon
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
7%
4
2%
FC Minsk
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
5%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (8%)3-1 (8%)2-0 (7%)3-0 (6%)1-1 (6%)4-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 92% | 9% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 78% | 22% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 59% | 41% | - |
| 4.5 | 39% | 61% | - |
| 5.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
Smorgon
10.0%
| Jul 11 | Smorgon v Orsha | 1-1 |
| Jul 05 | Smorgon v Volna P… | 1-3 |
| Jun 27 | Smorgon v Shakhte… | 2-0 |
| Jun 20 | Smorgon v Bumprom | 2-1 |
| Jun 14 | Smorgon v Minsk II | 1-0 |
| Jun 06 | Smorgon v Osipovi… | 0-5 |
| May 31 | Smorgon v Lida | 4-4 |
| May 27 | Smorgon v Vertical | 0-7 |
| May 23 | Smorgon v Niva | 3-0 |
| May 16 | Smorgon v FC Ener… | 0-1 |
FC Minsk
10.0%
| Jul 10 | FC Minsk v FC Dnep… | 1-2 |
| Jul 02 | FC Minsk v Dinamo … | 0-3 |
| Jun 27 | FC Minsk v Dinamo … | 0-0 |
| Jun 21 | FC Minsk v MKK-Dne… | 2-2 |
| Jun 18 | FC Minsk v Enisey | 0-0 |
| Jun 13 | FC Minsk v Baranov… | 2-1 |
| May 29 | FC Minsk v FC Islo… | 1-1 |
| May 23 | FC Minsk v Torpedo… | 3-0 |
| May 15 | FC Minsk v Belshina | 5-1 |
| May 09 | FC Minsk v Slavia … | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Feb 28, 2026 | FC Minsk | 0-1 | Smorgon |
| Oct 24, 2025 | FC Minsk | 2-2 | Smorgon |
| Jun 01, 2025 | Smorgon | 0-2 | FC Minsk |
| Feb 22, 2025 | FC Minsk | 0-0 | Smorgon |
| Aug 18, 2024 | Smorgon | 1-1 | FC Minsk |
| Apr 05, 2024 | FC Minsk | 2-3 | Smorgon |
| Feb 10, 2024 | FC Minsk | 2-1 | Smorgon |
| Nov 05, 2023 | Smorgon | 0-0 | FC Minsk |
| Jun 10, 2023 | FC Minsk | 2-1 | Smorgon |
| Feb 04, 2023 | FC Minsk | 4-2 | Smorgon |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
43%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.