Friendlies Clubs · Jul 18, 2026 14:00
NAC Breda PWR 54
Excelsior PWR 16
NAC Breda PWR 54
2-1
predicted
Excelsior PWR 16
27%
29%
44%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: NAC Breda to win (95% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
95%
Tier
Strong Pick
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (9%)1-2 (8%)2-1 (8%)2-2 (7%)0-1 (5%)1-0 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
66%
66%
Under 2.5
34%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 68%
Over 3.5
64%
64%
Team Comparison
64Attack35
52Defense0
Goals/G
1.50.9
Conc/G
1.43.4
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
2.83.0
NAC Breda
LDWLL
STABLE
Excelsior
WWDWW
STABLE
Squad & Player Stats
NAC Breda
Excelsior
| # | Player | Pos | App | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pepijn Reulen | For | 6.95 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 | Mohamed Nassoh | Mid | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| - | Leo Greiml | Def | 6.88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Denis Odoi | Def | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 32 | Juho Talvitie | Mid | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Charles-Andreas B… | Mid | 6.68 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Raul Paula | Mid | 6.66 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 16 | Maximilien Balard | Mid | 6.63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Clint Leemans | Mid | 6.63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 24 | André Ayew | For | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Boy Kemper | Def | 6.58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 20 | Fredrik Jensen | Mid | 6.55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 99 | Daniel Bielica | Goa | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 22 | Rio Hillen | Def | 6.48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 55 | Brahim Ghalidi | Mid | 6.48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Moussa Soumano | For | 6.46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 90 | Lewis Holtby | Mid | 6.44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 14 | Kamal Sowah | Mid | 6.38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 19 | Amine Salama | For | 6.34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 25 | Cherrion Valerius | Mid | 6.31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Friendlies Clubs
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
NAC Bredavs
1.80
ExcelsiorGoal Probability
NAC Breda
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
Excelsior
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4
7%
CORRECT SCORES
1-2 (8%)1-3 (8%)2-2 (6%)2-3 (6%)1-4 (6%)0-2 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 81% | 19% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 64% | 36% | - |
| 4.5 | 45% | 55% | - |
| 5.5 | 28% | 72% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 16% | 85% | UNDER |
League Position
#214
NAC Breda+1126
Gap#1340
Excelsior
WR 46% 21 pts
WR 14% 4 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NAC Breda | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 21 |
| Excelsior | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 24 | 4 |
NAC Breda
6.0%
| Jul 08 | NAC Bre… v FC Eind… | 0-2 |
| May 17 | NAC Bre… v AZ Alkm… | 3-3 |
| May 11 | NAC Bre… v Heerenv… | 2-0 |
| May 02 | NAC Bre… v Utrecht | 2-0 |
| Apr 25 | NAC Bre… v Ajax | 0-2 |
| Apr 12 | NAC Bre… v Fortuna… | 1-1 |
| Apr 05 | NAC Bre… v Sparta … | 0-0 |
| Mar 21 | NAC Bre… v PEC Zwo… | 2-1 |
| Mar 15 | NAC Bre… v GO Ahea… | 6-0 |
| Mar 08 | NAC Bre… v Feyenoo… | 3-3 |
Excelsior
18.0%
| Jul 04 | Excelsi… v Cambuur | 3-2 |
| May 17 | Excelsi… v Sparta … | 2-3 |
| May 10 | Excelsi… v FC Vole… | 1-1 |
| May 02 | Excelsi… v Groning… | 2-3 |
| Apr 26 | Excelsi… v Utrecht | 5-0 |
| Apr 12 | Excelsi… v PEC Zwo… | 2-2 |
| Apr 04 | Excelsi… v NEC Nij… | 0-2 |
| Mar 20 | Excelsi… v Heracles | 1-1 |
| Mar 15 | Excelsi… v Feyenoo… | 2-1 |
| Mar 07 | Excelsi… v Heerenv… | 1-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Feb 06, 2026 | NAC Breda | 0-2 | Excelsior |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Excelsior | 1-0 | NAC Breda |
| Jul 20, 2024 | NAC Breda | 1-1 | Excelsior |
| Jun 02, 2024 | Excelsior | 4-1 | NAC Breda |
| May 28, 2024 | NAC Breda | 6-2 | Excelsior |
| Jul 22, 2023 | NAC Breda | 2-0 | Excelsior |
| May 06, 2022 | Excelsior | 2-2 | NAC Breda |
| Oct 01, 2021 | NAC Breda | 4-1 | Excelsior |
| Apr 23, 2021 | NAC Breda | 1-2 | Excelsior |
| Jan 03, 2021 | Excelsior | 0-3 | NAC Breda |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
50%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (54%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Excelsior in strong form (4W in last 5)
NAC Breda struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.