Back Stats
Friendlies Clubs · Jul 17, 2026 20:00

Alfreton Town PWR 21
0-1
predicted

Derby PWR 37
43% 25% 32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
MASTER: Derby to win (81% confidence)
Score
0-1
Confidence
81%
Tier MASTER
LIKELY SCORES
1-2 (9%)1-1 (7%)2-2 (7%)1-3 (7%)2-1 (6%)0-2 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5 71%
71%
Under 2.5
29%
BTTS Yes
Yes 72%
Over 3.5
43%
Team Comparison
35Attack44
4Defense63
Goals/G
1.01.5
Conc/G
2.81.2
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Alfreton Town LDWL
STABLE
Derby LWLWL
STABLE
Squad & Player Stats
Alfreton To… Derby
#PlayerPosApp
No player data
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Friendlies Clubs
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Alfreton Town
vs
2.36
Derby
Goal Probability
Alfreton To…
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
14%
4
5%
Derby
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4
12%
CORRECT SCORES
1-2 (10%)0-2 (9%)1-1 (9%)0-1 (8%)1-3 (7%)0-3 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 97% 4% OVER
1.5 85% 15% OVER
2.5 65% 35% OVER
3.5 43% 57% -
4.5 25% 75% UNDER
5.5 12% 88% UNDER
6.5 6% 95% UNDER
League Position
#2641
Alfreton To…
-926
Gap
#1715
Derby
WR 0% 0 pts WR 25% 3 pts
TeamPWDLGFGAPts
Alfreton Town1001050
Derby4103583
Alfreton Town 7.5%
Jul 04 Alfreto… v Notts C… 0-5
Dec 13 Alfreto… v Alvechu… 2-2
Nov 18 Alfreto… v Gainsbo… 1-2
Sep 13 Alfreto… v Spaldin… 3-0
Derby 8.0%
May 02 Derby v Sheffie… 1-2
Apr 25 Derby v QPR 2-3
Apr 21 Derby v Norwich… 2-1
Apr 18 Derby v Oxford … 1-0
Apr 11 Derby v Southam… 2-1
Apr 06 Derby v Stoke C… 2-0
Apr 03 Derby v Coventry 3-2
Mar 21 Derby v Birming… 1-0
Mar 16 Derby v Portsmo… 0-1
Mar 10 Derby v Millwall 1-0
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
39%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Derby struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.