A Lyga · Jul 11, 2026 16:00
Kauno Žalgiris PWR 35
Panevėžys PWR 35
Kauno Žalgiris PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Panevėžys PWR 35
53%
23%
24%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
Tier
STANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (35%)1-0 (19%)0-1 (17%)1-1 (10%)2-0 (5%)0-2 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.63x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.55x
Over 2.5
9%
Under 2.5
91%
91%
BTTS
No
No 17%
Over 3.5
23%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Kauno Žalgiris
DDWWL
STABLE
Panevėžys
DLLWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk24%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityHome team draws 33% at home = very high riskHome team drew 2/5 recent games
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.55
Kauno Žalgirisvs
0.50
PanevėžysGoal Probability
Kauno Žalgi…
0
58%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
Panevėžys
0
61%
1
30%
2
8%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (16%)2-0 (15%)3-0 (10%)1-1 (9%)2-1 (9%)0-0 (9%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 92% | 9% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 70% | 30% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 45% | 55% | - |
| 3.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Kauno Žalgi…+4
Gap#8
Panevėžys
WR 33% 28 pts
WR 22% 19 pts
Kauno Žalgiris
12.0%
| Jul 07 | Kauno Ž… v Drita | 1-1 |
| Jul 03 | Kauno Ž… v Džiugas… | 0-0 |
| Jun 23 | Kauno Ž… v BFA | 0-3 |
| Jun 20 | Kauno Ž… v TransIN… | 1-2 |
| Jun 17 | Kauno Ž… v Banga | 0-1 |
| Jun 14 | Kauno Ž… v Hegelma… | 1-1 |
| May 31 | Kauno Ž… v FK Zalg… | 0-1 |
| May 23 | Kauno Ž… v Sūduva … | 2-1 |
| May 19 | Kauno Ž… v FK Trak… | 0-4 |
| May 16 | Kauno Ž… v Šiauliai | 0-0 |
Panevėžys
6.0%
| Jul 04 | Panevėž… v Hegelma… | 1-1 |
| Jun 29 | Panevėž… v Sūduva … | 1-2 |
| Jun 23 | Panevėž… v Minija | 2-1 |
| Jun 20 | Panevėž… v Šiauliai | 3-2 |
| Jun 16 | Panevėž… v FK Zalg… | 3-0 |
| Jun 12 | Panevėž… v TransIN… | 1-2 |
| May 30 | Panevėž… v Džiugas… | 4-0 |
| May 24 | Panevėž… v Banga | 1-0 |
| May 20 | Panevėž… v Atmosfe… | 0-3 |
| May 10 | Panevėž… v Kauno Ž… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| May 10, 2026 | Panevėžys | 1-1 | Kauno Žalgiris |
| Mar 10, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris | 4-0 | Panevėžys |
| Feb 16, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris | 1-0 | Panevėžys |
| Nov 02, 2025 | Kauno Žalgiris | 3-2 | Panevėžys |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Panevėžys | 1-0 | Kauno Žalgiris |
| Jun 24, 2025 | Kauno Žalgiris | 3-0 | Panevėžys |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Panevėžys | 0-2 | Kauno Žalgiris |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Kauno Žalgiris | 2-0 | Panevėžys |
| Oct 05, 2024 | Kauno Žalgiris | 0-0 | Panevėžys |
| Jul 20, 2024 | Panevėžys | 1-2 | Kauno Žalgiris |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
59%
Market
37%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Panevėžys struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.