A Lyga · Jul 18, 2026 16:00
Kauno Žalgiris PWR 35
Šiauliai PWR 35
Kauno Žalgiris PWR 35
3-1
predicted
Šiauliai PWR 35
55%
23%
22%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Kauno Žalgiris Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
68%
Tier
Standard Pick
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (30%)0-1 (23%)1-0 (14%)1-1 (10%)0-2 (8%)1-2 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
12%
Under 2.5
88%
88%
BTTS
No
No 19%
Over 3.5
28%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Kauno Žalgiris
DDWWL
STABLE
Šiauliai
LLWLL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy73%
AWAY_LEAKINGPOSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 30% at home = very high riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesAway draws 55% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 85% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (29.8%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.45
Kauno Žalgirisvs
0.75
ŠiauliaiGoal Probability
Kauno Žalgi…
0
64%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
Šiauliai
0
47%
1
35%
2
13%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (14%)2-0 (14%)1-1 (9%)2-1 (9%)3-0 (9%)0-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 50% | 50% | - |
| 3.5 | 28% | 72% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Kauno Žalgi…+8
Gap#9
Šiauliai
WR 40% 31 pts
WR 0% 13 pts
Kauno Žalgiris
12.0%
| Jul 07 | Kauno Ž… v Drita | 1-1 |
| Jul 03 | Kauno Ž… v Džiugas… | 0-0 |
| Jun 23 | Kauno Ž… v BFA | 0-3 |
| Jun 20 | Kauno Ž… v TransIN… | 1-2 |
| Jun 17 | Kauno Ž… v Banga | 0-1 |
| Jun 14 | Kauno Ž… v Hegelma… | 1-1 |
| May 31 | Kauno Ž… v FK Zalg… | 0-1 |
| May 23 | Kauno Ž… v Sūduva … | 2-1 |
| May 19 | Kauno Ž… v FK Trak… | 0-4 |
| May 16 | Kauno Ž… v Šiauliai | 0-0 |
Šiauliai
4.0%
| Jul 05 | Šiauliai v FK Zalg… | 0-3 |
| Jun 29 | Šiauliai v TransIN… | 1-3 |
| Jun 24 | Šiauliai v Džiugas… | 2-1 |
| Jun 20 | Šiauliai v Panevėž… | 3-2 |
| Jun 16 | Šiauliai v Sūduva … | 2-1 |
| Jun 12 | Šiauliai v Džiugas… | 4-3 |
| May 30 | Šiauliai v Banga | 1-1 |
| May 25 | Šiauliai v FK Trak… | 2-0 |
| May 20 | Šiauliai v Ataka V… | 1-2 |
| May 16 | Šiauliai v Kauno Ž… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| May 16, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris | 0-0 | Šiauliai |
| Mar 15, 2026 | Šiauliai | 0-5 | Kauno Žalgiris |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Kauno Žalgiris | 3-1 | Šiauliai |
| Aug 20, 2025 | Šiauliai | 2-2 | Kauno Žalgiris |
| May 23, 2025 | Kauno Žalgiris | 3-0 | Šiauliai |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Šiauliai | 2-3 | Kauno Žalgiris |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Kauno Žalgiris | 2-1 | Šiauliai |
| Aug 21, 2024 | Kauno Žalgiris | 3-1 | Šiauliai |
| Jul 01, 2024 | Šiauliai | 1-0 | Kauno Žalgiris |
| May 12, 2024 | Kauno Žalgiris | 2-1 | Šiauliai |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
48%
Standings
74%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Šiauliai struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.