Friendlies Clubs · Jul 11, 2026 12:00
Rot-Weiß Erfurt PWR 68
FSV Mainz 05 II PWR 54
Rot-Weiß Erfurt PWR 68
2-1
predicted
FSV Mainz 05 II PWR 54
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: Rot-Weiß Erfurt to win (85% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
85%
Tier
Strong Pick
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (10%)2-0 (6%)3-1 (5%)2-1 (4%)1-0 (3%)1-1 (2%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
58%
Under 2.5
42%
BTTS
No 42%
Over 3.5
73%
73%
Team Comparison
91Attack66
44Defense56
Goals/G
2.61.9
Conc/G
1.61.3
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Rot-Weiß Erfurt
DWWWL
STABLE
FSV Mainz 05 II
WDWLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Friendlies Clubs
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Rot-Weiß Erfurtvs
0.56
FSV Mainz 05 IIGoal Probability
Rot-Weiß Er…
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
FSV Mainz 0…
0
57%
1
32%
2
9%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-2 (6%)2-1 (6%)3-2 (6%)3-1 (6%)1-2 (4%)2-3 (4%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 87% | 13% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 73% | 27% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 55% | 45% | - |
| 5.5 | 38% | 62% | - |
| 6.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
League Position
#186
Rot-Weiß Er…+391
Gap#577
FSV Mainz 0…
WR 70% 22 pts
WR 38% 11 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rot-Weiß Erfu… | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 22 |
| FSV Mainz 05 … | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 10 | 11 |
Rot-Weiß Erfurt
14.0%
| Jul 10 | Rot-Wei… v Nürnber… | 0-0 |
| Jul 04 | Rot-Wei… v Hannove… | 5-1 |
| Feb 01 | Rot-Wei… v FC Schw… | 5-3 |
| Jan 25 | Rot-Wei… v Barocks… | 0-2 |
| Jan 24 | Rot-Wei… v Hessen … | 1-3 |
| Jan 17 | Rot-Wei… v Heilige… | 2-4 |
| Jul 19 | Rot-Wei… v Eintrac… | 2-1 |
| Jul 18 | Rot-Wei… v Nürnber… | 1-0 |
| Jan 26 | Rot-Wei… v Eintrac… | 3-2 |
| Jan 19 | Rot-Wei… v Tennis … | 3-4 |
FSV Mainz 05 II
12.0%
| Jul 04 | FSV Mai… v Progrès… | 1-0 |
| Feb 14 | FSV Mai… v FC Asto… | 1-1 |
| Feb 11 | FSV Mai… v Darmsta… | 6-0 |
| Feb 07 | FSV Mai… v Kickers… | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | FSV Mai… v TuS Kob… | 0-0 |
| Jan 24 | FSV Mai… v Fc Emme… | 5-1 |
| Jul 26 | FSV Mai… v TSV Ste… | 1-4 |
| Jan 25 | FSV Mai… v TuS Kob… | 3-1 |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Key Factors
Rot-Weiß Erfurt in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.