K League 2 · Jul 11, 2026 10:30
Hwaseong PWR 35
Paju Citizen PWR 35
Hwaseong PWR 35
1 - 2
FT
Paju Citizen PWR 35
63%
21%
16%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Hwaseong Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
55%
Tier
STANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (20%)2-0 (17%)0-0 (12%)3-0 (10%)1-1 (9%)2-1 (7%)
WRONG 1-2
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.38x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.03x
Over 2.5
35%
Under 2.5
65%
65%
BTTS
No
No 28%
Over 3.5
33%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Hwaseong
LWWWD
STABLE
Paju Citizen
LLLLD
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy56%
FORM_MOMENTUMFORM_DOMINANT
Full data available (Tier 1)Home team draws 36% at home = very high riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (26.2%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
Hwaseongvs
0.42
Paju CitizenGoal Probability
Hwaseong
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
Paju Citizen
0
66%
1
28%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (15%)1-0 (13%)3-0 (12%)2-1 (9%)1-1 (7%)3-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 6% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 79% | 22% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 55% | 45% | - |
| 3.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#6
Hwaseong+7
Gap#13
Paju Citizen
WR 46% 25 pts
WR 29% 14 pts
Hwaseong
14.0%
| Jun 06 | Hwaseong v Suwon B… | 1-2 |
| May 31 | Hwaseong v Gyeongn… | 2-0 |
| May 23 | Hwaseong v Cheongju | 2-3 |
| May 17 | Hwaseong v Busan I… | 3-2 |
| May 09 | Hwaseong v Suwon FC | 1-1 |
| May 03 | Hwaseong v Ansan G… | 2-0 |
| Apr 26 | Hwaseong v Seoul E… | 1-2 |
| Apr 19 | Hwaseong v Gimpo C… | 2-2 |
| Apr 11 | Hwaseong v Jeonnam… | 1-0 |
| Apr 04 | Hwaseong v Seongna… | 1-3 |
Paju Citizen
2.0%
| Jul 04 | Paju Ci… v Yongin … | 0-1 |
| Jun 05 | Paju Ci… v Daegu FC | 1-0 |
| May 30 | Paju Ci… v Busan I… | 4-1 |
| May 25 | Paju Ci… v Gimpo C… | 0-1 |
| May 16 | Paju Ci… v Cheonan… | 0-0 |
| May 03 | Paju Ci… v Cheongju | 0-0 |
| Apr 25 | Paju Ci… v Gyeongn… | 2-3 |
| Apr 19 | Paju Ci… v Seongna… | 0-1 |
| Apr 11 | Paju Ci… v Seoul E… | 1-3 |
| Apr 05 | Paju Ci… v Gimhae … | 3-1 |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
84%
Standings
66%
Market
53%
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Hwaseong in strong form (3W in last 5)
Paju Citizen struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.