USL League Two · Jul 11, 2026 20:00
Seacoast United P… PWR 68
AC Connecticut PWR 19
Seacoast United P… PWR 68
4-1
predicted
AC Connecticut PWR 19
55%
23%
22%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Over 2.5
Goals · Home scores 2.2/g, Away concedes 2.7/g, expected 3.6 goals
75%
accuracy
1.75x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Seacoast United Phantoms Win
Score
4-1
Confidence
69%
Tier
Value Pick
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (26%)1-0 (23%)0-1 (12%)1-1 (11%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.35x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.37x
Over 2.5
15%
Under 2.5
85%
85%
BTTS
No
No 22%
Over 3.5
82%
82%
Team Comparison
78Attack37
58Defense6
Goals/G
2.21.1
Conc/G
1.22.7
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Seacoast Unite…
DWLWD
STABLE
AC Connecticut
LWLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk24%
Accuracy78%
AWAY_LEAKINGPOSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPTABLE_EXTREMES
Full data available (Tier 1)Home team drew 2/5 recent gamesElevated draw risk (23.7%) - consider AHPREMIUM with draw risk (24%) - skip
Expected Goals (xG)
0.89
Seacoast Unite…vs
0.46
AC ConnecticutGoal Probability
Seacoast Un…
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
AC Connecti…
0
63%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
3-1 (6%)4-1 (6%)3-2 (5%)4-2 (5%)2-1 (5%)5-1 (4%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 100% | 0% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 82% | 18% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 67% | 33% | OVER |
| 5.5 | 51% | 50% | - |
| 6.5 | 35% | 65% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Seacoast Un…+134
Gap#136
AC Connecti…
WR 66% 105 pts
WR 13% 13 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seacoast Unit… | 50 | 33 | 6 | 11 | 112 | 60 | 105 |
| AC Connecticut | 31 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 33 | 83 | 13 |
Seacoast Unite…
12.0%
| Jul 06 | Seacoas… v Black R… | 3-3 |
| Jul 01 | Seacoas… v Boston … | 2-5 |
| Jun 28 | Seacoas… v Black R… | 1-3 |
| Jun 26 | Seacoas… v Boston … | 2-0 |
| Jun 17 | Seacoas… v Vermont… | 2-2 |
| Jun 13 | Seacoas… v AC Conn… | 3-4 |
| Jun 11 | Seacoas… v New Eng… | 2-1 |
| Jun 07 | Seacoas… v Connect… | 2-3 |
| May 31 | Seacoas… v Blackwa… | 2-1 |
| May 27 | Seacoas… v Connect… | 0-0 |
AC Connecticut
4.0%
| Jul 07 | AC Conn… v Western… | 0-2 |
| Jul 01 | AC Conn… v Connect… | 0-2 |
| Jun 26 | AC Conn… v Western… | 1-0 |
| Jun 24 | AC Conn… v Black R… | 2-1 |
| Jun 21 | AC Conn… v Black R… | 1-2 |
| Jun 18 | AC Conn… v Blackwa… | 1-0 |
| Jun 13 | AC Conn… v Seacoas… | 3-4 |
| Jun 11 | AC Conn… v Vermont… | 1-4 |
| Jun 07 | AC Conn… v Boston … | 3-2 |
| May 31 | AC Conn… v Boston … | 4-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Jun 13, 2026 | AC Connecticut | 3-4 | Seacoast Unit… |
| May 18, 2025 | Seacoast Unit… | 0-1 | AC Connecticut |
| Jun 26, 2024 | AC Connecticut | 4-2 | Seacoast Unit… |
| May 18, 2024 | Seacoast Unit… | 6-1 | AC Connecticut |
| Jul 11, 2023 | AC Connecticut | 1-2 | Seacoast Unit… |
| Jul 17, 2022 | Seacoast Unit… | 2-0 | AC Connecticut |
| Jun 14, 2022 | AC Connecticut | 2-5 | Seacoast Unit… |
| Jun 18, 2021 | AC Connecticut | 0-3 | Seacoast Unit… |
| Jun 05, 2021 | AC Connecticut | 3-4 | Seacoast Unit… |
| May 16, 2021 | Seacoast Unit… | 3-2 | AC Connecticut |
Decision Breakdown
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)TOP3vsBot (75.8%)TOP3_VS_REL (80.8%)GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%)POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
65%
Standings
50%
Market
60%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
AC Connecticut struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.