USL League Two · Jul 11, 2026 22:00
Morris Elite PWR 18
Staten Island Ath…
PWR 32
2-1
predicted
Morris Elite PWR 18
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Staten Island Athletic to win (60% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
60%
Tier
STANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-1 (7%)2-1 (5%)3-2 (5%)3-0 (4%)2-2 (4%)2-0 (3%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.49x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.99x
Over 2.5
69%
69%
Under 2.5
31%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 76%
Over 3.5
66%
66%
Team Comparison
44Attack41
23Defense0
Goals/G
1.31.2
Conc/G
2.22.9
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Staten Island …
LWLLL
STABLE
Morris Elite
DLLWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk25%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Teams too similar in form - high draw probability
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.0
Expected Goals (xG)
4.00
Staten Island …vs
1.49
Morris EliteGoal Probability
Staten Isla…
0
2%
1
7%
2
15%
3
20%
4
20%
Morris Elite
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
5%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (7%)3-1 (7%)2-2 (6%)3-2 (6%)1-1 (5%)4-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 94% | 6% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 83% | 17% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 66% | 34% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 47% | 53% | - |
| 5.5 | 30% | 70% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
League Position
#104
Staten Isla…-11
Gap#93
Morris Elite
WR 30% 21 pts
WR 14% 23 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Staten Island… | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 25 | 44 | 21 |
| Morris Elite | 37 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 43 | 106 | 23 |
Staten Island …
4.0%
| Jul 05 | Staten … v Ironbou… | 3-0 |
| Jul 01 | Staten … v New Jer… | 3-2 |
| Jun 27 | Staten … v Long Is… | 0-6 |
| Jun 16 | Staten … v New Jer… | 2-1 |
| Jun 14 | Staten … v Hudson … | 3-2 |
| Jun 07 | Staten … v Cedar S… | 1-0 |
| Jun 04 | Staten … v Manhatt… | 2-2 |
| Jun 01 | Staten … v Westche… | 1-3 |
| May 28 | Staten … v Long Is… | 3-0 |
| May 25 | Staten … v FC Moto… | 1-3 |
Morris Elite
6.0%
| Jul 08 | Morris … v Westche… | 1-1 |
| Jul 03 | Morris … v FC Moto… | 8-0 |
| Jun 27 | Morris … v Hudson … | 4-3 |
| Jun 25 | Morris … v New Jer… | 2-0 |
| Jun 21 | Morris … v Cedar S… | 2-0 |
| Jun 11 | Morris … v Manhatt… | 5-1 |
| Jun 08 | Morris … v Long Is… | 2-1 |
| Jun 04 | Morris … v FC Moto… | 0-4 |
| May 31 | Morris … v Manhatt… | 0-4 |
| May 24 | Morris … v Hudson … | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Jun 07, 2025 | Morris Elite | 2-1 | Staten Island… |
| May 25, 2025 | Staten Island… | 1-2 | Morris Elite |
| May 18, 2024 | Morris Elite | 0-1 | Staten Island… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
52%
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Staten Island Athletic struggling (4L in last 5)
Morris Elite struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.