USL League Two · Jul 11, 2026 23:00
Virginia Marauders PWR 8
Hill City
PWR 53
4-0
predicted
Virginia Marauders PWR 8
57%
23%
20%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Over 2.5
Goals · Home scores 2.3/g, Away concedes 3.2/g, expected 4.0 goals
75%
accuracy
1.75x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Hill City Win
Score
4-0
Confidence
63%
Tier
Standard Pick
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (13%)2-0 (11%)3-1 (6%)1-0 (6%)2-1 (5%)1-1 (3%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
61%
61%
Under 2.5
39%
BTTS
No 36%
Over 3.5
74%
74%
Team Comparison
81Attack18
30Defense0
Goals/G
2.30.5
Conc/G
2.03.2
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Hill City
LWLWL
STABLE
Virginia Marauā¦
LLLLL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk23%
Accuracy73%
AWAY_LEAKINGPOSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Elevated draw risk (22.5%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got GOLD/3 rules)
Expected Goals (xG)
3.71
Hill Cityvs
0.46
Virginia Marauā¦Goal Probability
Hill City
0
2%
1
9%
2
17%
3
21%
4
19%
Virginia Maā¦
0
63%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
3-1 (7%)4-1 (7%)3-0 (7%)4-0 (7%)5-1 (6%)5-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 88% | 12% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 74% | 26% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 57% | 43% | - |
| 5.5 | 39% | 61% | - |
| 6.5 | 24% | 76% | UNDER |
League Position
#110
Hill City+55
Gap#165
Virginia Maā¦
WR 46% 19 pts
WR 6% 3 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hill City | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 30 | 26 | 19 |
| Virginia Maraā¦ | 16 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 8 | 51 | 3 |
Hill City
8.0%
| Jul 04 | Hill Ciā¦ v Lionsbrā¦ | 4-0 |
| Jun 30 | Hill Ciā¦ v Patuxent | 0-1 |
| Jun 27 | Hill Ciā¦ v Virginiā¦ | 1-2 |
| Jun 25 | Hill Ciā¦ v Evergreā¦ | 3-4 |
| Jun 21 | Hill Ciā¦ v Christos | 1-2 |
| Jun 18 | Hill Ciā¦ v Annapolā¦ | 5-2 |
| Jun 14 | Hill Ciā¦ v Charlotā¦ | 2-0 |
| Jun 11 | Hill Ciā¦ v Virginiā¦ | 5-3 |
| Jun 04 | Hill Ciā¦ v Bethesdā¦ | 3-0 |
| May 31 | Hill Ciā¦ v Virginiā¦ | 1-5 |
Virginia Marauā¦
0.0%
| Jul 08 | Virginiā¦ v Bethesdā¦ | 3-2 |
| Jul 05 | Virginiā¦ v Bethesdā¦ | 0-4 |
| Jun 30 | Virginiā¦ v Annapolā¦ | 1-4 |
| Jun 27 | Virginiā¦ v Loudounā¦ | 4-0 |
| Jun 21 | Virginiā¦ v Charlotā¦ | 4-0 |
| Jun 18 | Virginiā¦ v Charlotā¦ | 0-4 |
| Jun 14 | Virginiā¦ v Virginiā¦ | 3-1 |
| Jun 11 | Virginiā¦ v Patuxent | 1-0 |
| Jun 08 | Virginiā¦ v Christos | 1-3 |
| Jun 04 | Virginiā¦ v Loudounā¦ | 0-2 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| May 31, 2026 | Virginia Maraā¦ | 1-5 | Hill City |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Key Factors
Hill City struggling (3L in last 5)
Virginia Marauders struggling (5L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.