USL League Two · Jul 11, 2026 23:00
North Carolina Fu… PWR 59
Wake PWR 29
North Carolina Fu… PWR 59
4-1
predicted
Wake PWR 29
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Over 2.5
Goals · Home scores 2.2/g, Away concedes 2.4/g, expected 3.8 goals
75%
accuracy
1.75x
Final Verdict
Prediction
North Carolina Fusion Win
Score
4-1
Confidence
68%
Tier
Standard Pick
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (12%)2-1 (9%)1-0 (9%)1-2 (8%)0-1 (8%)2-0 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
54%
Under 2.5
46%
BTTS
Yes 58%
Over 3.5
77%
77%
Team Comparison
78Attack47
48Defense14
Goals/G
2.21.3
Conc/G
1.52.4
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
North Carolina…
LWDLL
STABLE
Wake
WWLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk24%
Accuracy73%
AWAY_LEAKINGPOSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Consider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (24.0%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
North Carolina…vs
1.34
WakeGoal Probability
North Carol…
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4
5%
Wake
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
CORRECT SCORES
3-2 (6%)3-1 (6%)2-2 (6%)2-1 (6%)4-2 (5%)4-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 100% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 90% | 11% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 77% | 23% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 60% | 40% | - |
| 5.5 | 43% | 57% | - |
| 6.5 | 28% | 73% | UNDER |
League Position
#32
North Carol…+51
Gap#83
Wake
WR 50% 45 pts
WR 24% 25 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolin… | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 58 | 39 | 45 |
| Wake | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 39 | 71 | 25 |
North Carolina…
6.0%
| Jul 08 | North C… v Tobacco… | 1-3 |
| Jul 01 | North C… v Port Ci… | 1-2 |
| Jun 27 | North C… v SC Unit… | 3-3 |
| Jun 24 | North C… v Ashevil… | 1-2 |
| Jun 18 | North C… v Charlot… | 3-1 |
| Jun 14 | North C… v North C… | 0-1 |
| Jun 11 | North C… v Appalac… | 5-2 |
| Jun 07 | North C… v North C… | 2-3 |
| Jun 04 | North C… v Hickory | 1-2 |
| May 31 | North C… v Charlot… | 1-1 |
Wake
8.0%
| Jul 08 | Wake v Port Ci… | 3-1 |
| Jun 27 | Wake v Tobacco… | 2-3 |
| Jun 23 | Wake v Charlot… | 0-4 |
| Jun 21 | Wake v Hickory | 2-1 |
| Jun 18 | Wake v North C… | 1-2 |
| Jun 11 | Wake v North C… | 3-1 |
| Jun 08 | Wake v Ashevil… | 2-0 |
| Jun 04 | Wake v SC Unit… | 1-4 |
| May 31 | Wake v Appalac… | 1-2 |
| May 28 | Wake v Port Ci… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| May 20, 2026 | Wake | 0-4 | North Carolin… |
| Jul 02, 2025 | Wake | 0-1 | North Carolin… |
| May 24, 2025 | North Carolin… | 4-1 | Wake |
| Jul 09, 2024 | Wake | 1-3 | North Carolin… |
| Jun 22, 2024 | North Carolin… | 2-2 | Wake |
| Jun 06, 2023 | Wake | 0-2 | North Carolin… |
| May 17, 2023 | North Carolin… | 2-1 | Wake |
| Jul 09, 2022 | Wake | 0-8 | North Carolin… |
| Jun 07, 2022 | North Carolin… | 5-0 | Wake |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (39%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
North Carolina Fusion struggling (3L in last 5)
Wake struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.