USL League Two · Jul 12, 2026 00:00
Des Moines Menace PWR 64
Des Moines Menace PWR 64
4-1
predicted
St. Louis Ambush
PWR 40
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Over 2.5
Goals · Home scores 2.5/g, Away concedes 1.7/g, expected 3.5 goals
75%
accuracy
1.75x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Des Moines Menace Win
Score
4-1
Confidence
50%
Tier
STANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (12%)0-1 (11%)1-2 (9%)1-0 (9%)0-2 (8%)0-0 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
47%
Under 2.5
53%
BTTS
Yes 52%
Over 3.5
49%
Team Comparison
88Attack46
48Defense41
Goals/G
2.51.3
Conc/G
1.51.7
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Des Moines Men…
WLLLW
STABLE
St. Louis Ambu…
WLLLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk23%
Accuracy56%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Elevated draw risk (22.9%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got STANDARD/2 rules)
Expected Goals (xG)
1.12
Des Moines Men…vs
1.45
St. Louis Ambu…Goal Probability
Des Moines …
0
33%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
St. Louis A…
0
24%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4
4%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (9%)1-1 (8%)3-1 (7%)2-0 (7%)2-2 (7%)1-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 88% | 12% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 70% | 30% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 49% | 51% | - |
| 4.5 | 30% | 70% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
League Position
#22
Des Moines …+97
Gap#119
St. Louis A…
WR 57% 53 pts
WR 31% 17 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Des Moines Me… | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 70 | 42 | 53 |
| St. Louis Amb… | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 27 | 17 |
Des Moines Men…
8.0%
| Jul 08 | Des Moi… v Springf… | 2-4 |
| Jul 04 | Des Moi… v Santafé… | 0-3 |
| Jul 01 | Des Moi… v Sunflow… | 2-1 |
| Jun 28 | Des Moi… v Peoria | 1-2 |
| Jun 18 | Des Moi… v St. Lou… | 0-1 |
| Jun 14 | Des Moi… v Springf… | 3-1 |
| Jun 11 | Des Moi… v Santafé… | 1-1 |
| Jun 04 | Des Moi… v Sunflow… | 2-0 |
| May 31 | Des Moi… v Sunflow… | 3-1 |
| May 24 | Des Moi… v Peoria | 3-1 |
St. Louis Ambu…
8.0%
| Jul 03 | St. Lou… v Peoria | 1-4 |
| Jun 28 | St. Lou… v Springf… | 0-3 |
| Jun 24 | St. Lou… v Peoria | 2-0 |
| Jun 18 | St. Lou… v Des Moi… | 0-1 |
| Jun 14 | St. Lou… v Sunflow… | 2-1 |
| Jun 11 | St. Lou… v Springf… | 2-2 |
| Jun 07 | St. Lou… v Santafé… | 0-2 |
| May 24 | St. Lou… v Santafé… | 1-1 |
| May 21 | St. Lou… v Springf… | 0-2 |
| May 10 | St. Lou… v Peoria | 1-3 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Jun 18, 2026 | St. Louis Amb… | 0-1 | Des Moines Me… |
| Jul 13, 2025 | Des Moines Me… | 4-3 | St. Louis Amb… |
| May 25, 2025 | St. Louis Amb… | 1-5 | Des Moines Me… |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player
40%
Momentum
47%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Des Moines Menace struggling (3L in last 5)
St. Louis Ambush struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.