USL League Two · Jul 12, 2026 23:00
RKC PWR 61
RKC PWR 61
4-2
predicted
River Light
PWR 42
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
Over 2.5
Goals · Home scores 2.2/g, Away concedes 1.9/g, expected 3.6 goals
75%
accuracy
1.75x
Final Verdict
Prediction
RKC Win
Score
4-2
Confidence
55%
Tier
STANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (10%)2-1 (9%)1-0 (8%)2-0 (7%)1-2 (7%)2-2 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
60%
Under 2.5
40%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 62%
Over 3.5
55%
Team Comparison
79Attack59
49Defense34
Goals/G
2.31.7
Conc/G
1.51.9
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
RKC
WLLLL
STABLE
River Light
LLDDW
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy56%
POSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)H2H: 2/3 draws (67%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (29.6%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.85
RKCvs
1.32
River LightGoal Probability
RKC
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
River Light
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
CORRECT SCORES
1-2 (8%)1-1 (8%)2-2 (7%)2-1 (7%)1-3 (6%)2-3 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 55% | 45% | - |
| 4.5 | 35% | 65% | - |
| 5.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
League Position
#36
RKC+54
Gap#90
River Light
WR 54% 44 pts
WR 32% 23 pts
| Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RKC | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 54 | 35 | 44 |
| River Light | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 32 | 36 | 23 |
RKC
4.0%
| Jul 09 | RKC v Chicago… | 4-2 |
| Jul 02 | RKC v Sueno | 5-1 |
| Jun 25 | RKC v Minneap… | 3-1 |
| Jun 21 | RKC v Chicago… | 2-0 |
| Jun 18 | RKC v Rochest… | 2-1 |
| Jun 15 | RKC v Edgewat… | 4-0 |
| Jun 08 | RKC v St. Cro… | 1-0 |
| Jun 04 | RKC v Minneap… | 0-1 |
| Jun 01 | RKC v Rockfor… | 0-2 |
| May 28 | RKC v River L… | 0-0 |
River Light
8.0%
| Jul 09 | River L… v Rockfor… | 0-2 |
| Jun 27 | River L… v Minneap… | 2-5 |
| Jun 14 | River L… v Chicago… | 2-2 |
| Jun 11 | River L… v Edgewat… | 0-0 |
| Jun 07 | River L… v Rockfor… | 1-4 |
| Jun 04 | River L… v Sueno | 2-1 |
| May 31 | River L… v St. Cro… | 2-1 |
| May 28 | River L… v RKC | 0-0 |
| May 23 | River L… v Rochest… | 3-2 |
| Jul 10 | River L… v Chicago… | 0-5 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| May 28, 2026 | River Light | 0-0 | RKC |
| Jun 20, 2025 | River Light | 2-2 | RKC |
| Jun 13, 2025 | RKC | 2-1 | River Light |
Decision Breakdown
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
67%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
RKC struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.