USL League One Cup · Jul 11, 2026 23:00
Pittsburgh Riverh… PWR 35
Loudoun United FC PWR 35
Pittsburgh Riverh… PWR 35
4-1
predicted
Loudoun United FC PWR 35
57%
23%
20%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Pittsburgh Riverhounds Win
Score
4-1
Confidence
42%
Tier
SKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (16%)3-0 (15%)1-0 (12%)2-1 (7%)3-1 (6%)1-1 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.37x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.13x
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
BTTS
No
No 31%
Over 3.5
25%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Pittsburgh Riv…
LDWDW
STABLE
Loudoun United…
DLDLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.6%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.73
Pittsburgh Riv…vs
0.41
Loudoun United…Goal Probability
Pittsburgh …
0
7%
1
18%
2
24%
3
22%
4
15%
Loudoun Uni…
0
66%
1
27%
2
6%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
2-0 (16%)1-0 (16%)3-0 (11%)2-1 (8%)1-1 (8%)0-0 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 72% | 28% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 47% | 53% | - |
| 3.5 | 25% | 75% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 11% | 89% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#3
Pittsburgh …+1
Gap#4
Loudoun Uni…
WR 100% 5 pts
WR 0% 3 pts
Pittsburgh Riv…
12.0%
| Jul 04 | Pittsbu… v Brooklyn | 0-2 |
| Jun 20 | Pittsbu… v Hartfor… | 0-0 |
| Jun 13 | Pittsbu… v Indy El… | 1-0 |
| Jun 06 | Pittsbu… v Charles… | 0-0 |
| May 30 | Pittsbu… v Miami FC | 2-0 |
| May 15 | Pittsbu… v Charlot… | 1-1 |
| May 09 | Pittsbu… v Louisvi… | 0-2 |
| May 02 | Pittsbu… v Phoenix… | 0-1 |
| Apr 25 | Pittsbu… v Greenvi… | 3-0 |
| Apr 19 | Pittsbu… v Detroit… | 2-1 |
Loudoun United…
4.0%
| Jul 03 | Loudoun… v Sportin… | 2-2 |
| Jun 24 | Loudoun… v Charles… | 4-1 |
| Jun 21 | Loudoun… v Birming… | 1-1 |
| Jun 13 | Loudoun… v Rhode I… | 1-4 |
| Jun 10 | Loudoun… v Greenvi… | 3-1 |
| Jun 06 | Loudoun… v Richmon… | 2-0 |
| May 31 | Loudoun… v Montere… | 4-1 |
| May 23 | Loudoun… v Detroit… | 0-0 |
| May 09 | Loudoun… v Brooklyn | 0-1 |
| May 02 | Loudoun… v Oakland… | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Mar 14, 2026 | Loudoun Unite… | 2-3 | Pittsburgh Ri… |
| Feb 13, 2026 | Pittsburgh Ri… | 2-1 | Loudoun Unite… |
| Jul 13, 2025 | Pittsburgh Ri… | 2-2 | Loudoun Unite… |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Loudoun Unite… | 2-1 | Pittsburgh Ri… |
| Feb 25, 2025 | Pittsburgh Ri… | 1-2 | Loudoun Unite… |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Loudoun Unite… | 0-2 | Pittsburgh Ri… |
| Jul 27, 2024 | Pittsburgh Ri… | 1-1 | Loudoun Unite… |
| Sep 09, 2023 | Pittsburgh Ri… | 3-1 | Loudoun Unite… |
| May 28, 2023 | Loudoun Unite… | 0-1 | Pittsburgh Ri… |
| Sep 04, 2022 | Loudoun Unite… | 1-2 | Pittsburgh Ri… |
Decision Breakdown
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
82%
Market
56%
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Loudoun United FC struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.