USL League One Cup · Jul 12, 2026 00:00
Birmingham Legion PWR 35
FC Tulsa PWR 35
Birmingham Legion PWR 35
5-1
predicted
FC Tulsa PWR 35
43%
25%
32%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Birmingham Legion Win
Score
5-1
Confidence
35%
Tier
SKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (13%)1-1 (13%)0-0 (9%)0-1 (9%)2-0 (9%)2-1 (9%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.39x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.1x
Over 2.5
42%
Under 2.5
58%
BTTS
No 47%
Over 3.5
19%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Birmingham Leg…
DLDDL
STABLE
FC Tulsa
LWLLD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateBoth teams defensive = 40.0% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (31.7%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Birmingham Leg…vs
0.99
FC TulsaGoal Probability
Birmingham …
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
FC Tulsa
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (13%)0-1 (12%)1-0 (12%)0-0 (11%)1-2 (8%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 90% | 11% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 66% | 34% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 39% | 61% | - |
| 3.5 | 19% | 81% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
Birmingham …+2
Gap#4
FC Tulsa
WR 100% 6 pts
WR 100% 4 pts
Birmingham Leg…
6.0%
| Jul 05 | Birming… v Miami FC | 1-1 |
| Jul 03 | Birming… v Detroit… | 1-2 |
| Jun 21 | Birming… v Loudoun… | 1-1 |
| Jun 17 | Birming… v Oakland… | 1-1 |
| Jun 14 | Birming… v Las Veg… | 1-2 |
| Jun 10 | Birming… v Corpus … | 3-0 |
| Jun 04 | Birming… v Louisvi… | 1-1 |
| May 24 | Birming… v Montere… | 2-0 |
| May 16 | Birming… v Chattan… | 1-1 |
| May 08 | Birming… v Miami FC | 0-0 |
FC Tulsa
6.0%
| Jun 21 | FC Tulsa v Colorad… | 1-2 |
| Jun 18 | FC Tulsa v Montere… | 2-0 |
| Jun 13 | FC Tulsa v Charles… | 5-1 |
| Jun 07 | FC Tulsa v San Ant… | 1-2 |
| May 31 | FC Tulsa v Las Veg… | 0-0 |
| May 23 | FC Tulsa v Hartfor… | 2-0 |
| May 17 | FC Tulsa v Corpus … | 0-1 |
| May 03 | FC Tulsa v Montere… | 1-2 |
| Apr 30 | FC Tulsa v El Paso… | 1-4 |
| Apr 26 | FC Tulsa v One Kno… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Sep 07, 2025 | FC Tulsa | 1-1 | Birmingham Le… |
| Jun 01, 2025 | FC Tulsa | 1-2 | Birmingham Le… |
| May 04, 2024 | Birmingham Le… | 2-2 | FC Tulsa |
| Aug 24, 2023 | FC Tulsa | 1-3 | Birmingham Le… |
| Mar 18, 2023 | Birmingham Le… | 3-2 | FC Tulsa |
| Jul 23, 2022 | Birmingham Le… | 0-2 | FC Tulsa |
| Mar 20, 2022 | FC Tulsa | 3-1 | Birmingham Le… |
| Sep 12, 2021 | FC Tulsa | 1-1 | Birmingham Le… |
| Aug 22, 2021 | Birmingham Le… | 1-2 | FC Tulsa |
| Aug 08, 2021 | FC Tulsa | 3-1 | Birmingham Le… |
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player
40%
Momentum
65%
Standings
53%
Market
55%
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
FC Tulsa struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.