USL League One Cup · Jul 12, 2026 01:00
El Paso Locomotive PWR 35
New Mexico United PWR 35
El Paso Locomotive PWR 35
3-0
predicted
New Mexico United PWR 35
33%
27%
40%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
El Paso Locomotive Win
Score
3-0
Confidence
35%
Tier
SKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (22%)2-0 (15%)0-0 (15%)1-1 (10%)3-0 (7%)2-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.69x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.67x
Over 2.5
29%
Under 2.5
71%
71%
BTTS
No
No 28%
Over 3.5
37%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
El Paso Locomo…
WLDDL
STABLE
New Mexico Uni…
WDWDW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk31%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 3/10 draws (30%) = HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (30.7%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
El Paso Locomo…vs
0.46
New Mexico Uni…Goal Probability
El Paso Loc…
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
12%
4
4%
New Mexico …
0
63%
1
29%
2
7%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (10%)1-2 (10%)0-1 (9%)0-2 (8%)2-1 (6%)1-3 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 81% | 19% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 60% | 40% | - |
| 3.5 | 37% | 63% | - |
| 4.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
League Position
#2
El Paso Loc…+1
Gap#3
New Mexico …
WR 100% 6 pts
WR 0% 6 pts
El Paso Locomo…
8.0%
| Jul 05 | El Paso… v Las Veg… | 1-2 |
| Jun 21 | El Paso… v Montere… | 1-0 |
| Jun 14 | El Paso… v Phoenix… | 1-1 |
| Jun 10 | El Paso… v Detroit… | 1-1 |
| Jun 07 | El Paso… v Colorad… | 2-1 |
| May 31 | El Paso… v Lexingt… | 1-4 |
| May 28 | El Paso… v Alta | 2-0 |
| May 10 | El Paso… v Oakland… | 2-1 |
| May 07 | El Paso… v New Mex… | 2-2 |
| Apr 30 | El Paso… v FC Tulsa | 1-4 |
New Mexico Uni…
16.0%
| Jul 05 | New Mex… v Oakland… | 2-1 |
| Jul 02 | New Mex… v Atlante… | 3-3 |
| Jun 21 | New Mex… v Sacrame… | 0-1 |
| Jun 14 | New Mex… v Orange … | 1-1 |
| Jun 07 | New Mex… v Phoenix… | 4-0 |
| May 30 | New Mex… v Hartfor… | 0-0 |
| May 24 | New Mex… v Charles… | 1-0 |
| May 21 | New Mex… v Tampa B… | 0-1 |
| May 17 | New Mex… v Colorad… | 4-0 |
| May 10 | New Mex… v Las Veg… | 3-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| May 07, 2026 | New Mexico Un… | 2-2 | El Paso Locom… |
| Apr 02, 2026 | New Mexico Un… | 0-4 | El Paso Locom… |
| Feb 28, 2026 | El Paso Locom… | 4-1 | New Mexico Un… |
| May 04, 2025 | El Paso Locom… | 3-0 | New Mexico Un… |
| Apr 17, 2025 | New Mexico Un… | 2-2 | El Paso Locom… |
| Mar 22, 2025 | New Mexico Un… | 1-0 | El Paso Locom… |
| Mar 01, 2025 | New Mexico Un… | 2-2 | El Paso Locom… |
| Jul 28, 2024 | El Paso Locom… | 1-2 | New Mexico Un… |
| Apr 07, 2024 | New Mexico Un… | 3-2 | El Paso Locom… |
| Jul 02, 2023 | El Paso Locom… | 0-1 | New Mexico Un… |
Decision Breakdown
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
79%
Standings
82%
Market
42%
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
New Mexico United in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.