USL League One Cup · Jul 12, 2026 02:00
Monterey Bay PWR 35
Las Vegas Lights PWR 35
Monterey Bay PWR 35
3-0
predicted
Las Vegas Lights PWR 35
53%
23%
24%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Monterey Bay Win
Score
3-0
Confidence
35%
Tier
SKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (13%)2-0 (13%)1-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)2-1 (7%)1-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.61x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.76x
Over 2.5
60%
60%
Under 2.5
40%
BTTS
No 39%
Over 3.5
35%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Monterey Bay
DWLWD
STABLE
Las Vegas Ligh…
LLWLD
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (26.6%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.07
Monterey Bayvs
0.52
Las Vegas Ligh…Goal Probability
Monterey Bay
0
5%
1
14%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
Las Vegas L…
0
60%
1
31%
2
8%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (10%)2-1 (10%)1-0 (10%)2-0 (9%)3-1 (6%)3-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 80% | 20% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 58% | 42% | - |
| 3.5 | 35% | 65% | - |
| 4.5 | 19% | 82% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
League Position
#5
Monterey Bay+1
Gap#6
Las Vegas L…
WR 100% 3 pts
WR 0% 1 pts
Monterey Bay
12.0%
| Jul 05 | Montere… v San Ant… | 0-0 |
| Jun 21 | Montere… v El Paso… | 1-0 |
| Jun 18 | Montere… v FC Tulsa | 2-0 |
| Jun 11 | Montere… v Sportin… | 2-1 |
| Jun 07 | Montere… v Sacrame… | 1-1 |
| May 31 | Montere… v Loudoun… | 4-1 |
| May 24 | Montere… v Birming… | 2-0 |
| May 17 | Montere… v Boise | 4-3 |
| May 08 | Montere… v Lexingt… | 3-1 |
| May 03 | Montere… v FC Tulsa | 1-2 |
Las Vegas Ligh…
6.0%
| Jul 05 | Las Veg… v El Paso… | 1-2 |
| Jun 21 | Las Veg… v Orange … | 2-3 |
| Jun 14 | Las Veg… v Birming… | 1-2 |
| Jun 07 | Las Veg… v Oakland… | 0-2 |
| May 31 | Las Veg… v FC Tulsa | 0-0 |
| May 24 | Las Veg… v Colorad… | 2-0 |
| May 17 | Las Veg… v Spokane… | 1-0 |
| May 10 | Las Veg… v New Mex… | 3-1 |
| May 03 | Las Veg… v Lexingt… | 2-1 |
| Apr 26 | Las Veg… v Boise | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Mar 29, 2026 | Las Vegas Lig… | 1-0 | Monterey Bay |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Monterey Bay | 1-1 | Las Vegas Lig… |
| Jun 15, 2025 | Las Vegas Lig… | 2-0 | Monterey Bay |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Las Vegas Lig… | 0-0 | Monterey Bay |
| Apr 14, 2024 | Monterey Bay | 3-1 | Las Vegas Lig… |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Monterey Bay | 3-2 | Las Vegas Lig… |
| Jun 11, 2023 | Las Vegas Lig… | 1-2 | Monterey Bay |
| Sep 28, 2022 | Las Vegas Lig… | 4-0 | Monterey Bay |
| May 08, 2022 | Monterey Bay | 1-0 | Las Vegas Lig… |
Decision Breakdown
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
82%
Market
46%
High draw risk (44%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Las Vegas Lights struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.