USL League One Cup · Jul 11, 2026 23:30
Greenville Triumph PWR 35
Richmond Kickers PWR 35
Greenville Triumph PWR 35
4-0
predicted
Richmond Kickers PWR 35
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Greenville Triumph Win
Score
4-0
Confidence
42%
Tier
SKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (15%)1-0 (14%)3-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)1-1 (8%)0-0 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.39x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.1x
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%
BTTS
No 41%
Over 3.5
26%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Greenville Tri…
DWLLL
STABLE
Richmond Kicke…
DLLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 4/10 draws (40%) = VERY HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (29.8%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.13
Greenville Tri…vs
0.62
Richmond Kicke…Goal Probability
Greenville …
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
Richmond Ki…
0
54%
1
33%
2
10%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (14%)2-0 (14%)1-1 (10%)2-1 (9%)3-0 (9%)0-0 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 73% | 27% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 48% | 52% | - |
| 3.5 | 26% | 74% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 5% | 95% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
League Position
#5
Greenville …+1
Gap#6
Richmond Ki…
WR 100% 3 pts
WR 0% 0 pts
Greenville Tri…
6.0%
| Jul 08 | Greenvi… v Sarasot… | 0-0 |
| Jul 04 | Greenvi… v NY Cosm… | 0-3 |
| Jun 24 | Greenvi… v Charlot… | 1-0 |
| Jun 20 | Greenvi… v Alta | 1-2 |
| Jun 14 | Greenvi… v Westche… | 4-0 |
| Jun 10 | Greenvi… v Loudoun… | 3-1 |
| Jun 03 | Greenvi… v Forward… | 1-0 |
| May 29 | Greenvi… v One Kno… | 2-0 |
| May 23 | Greenvi… v Portlan… | 1-1 |
| May 09 | Greenvi… v Richmon… | 0-3 |
Richmond Kicke…
2.0%
| Jul 03 | Richmon… v Sarasot… | 0-0 |
| Jun 24 | Richmon… v Portlan… | 5-1 |
| Jun 20 | Richmon… v Fort Wa… | 0-2 |
| Jun 14 | Richmon… v Corpus … | 1-0 |
| Jun 11 | Richmon… v Boise | 2-1 |
| Jun 06 | Richmon… v Loudoun… | 2-0 |
| May 30 | Richmon… v Boise | 2-2 |
| May 27 | Richmon… v Chattan… | 5-0 |
| May 16 | Richmon… v Charles… | 0-4 |
| May 09 | Richmon… v Greenvi… | 0-3 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| May 09, 2026 | Greenville Tr… | 0-3 | Richmond Kick… |
| Jul 20, 2025 | Greenville Tr… | 2-0 | Richmond Kick… |
| May 02, 2025 | Richmond Kick… | 3-3 | Greenville Tr… |
| Aug 16, 2024 | Greenville Tr… | 1-1 | Richmond Kick… |
| Jul 20, 2024 | Richmond Kick… | 0-2 | Greenville Tr… |
| May 18, 2024 | Richmond Kick… | 0-1 | Greenville Tr… |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Greenville Tr… | 1-1 | Richmond Kick… |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Richmond Kick… | 1-2 | Greenville Tr… |
| May 13, 2023 | Greenville Tr… | 2-2 | Richmond Kick… |
| Mar 26, 2023 | Greenville Tr… | 0-1 | Richmond Kick… |
Decision Breakdown
HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
87%
Standings
82%
Market
55%
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Greenville Triumph struggling (3L in last 5)
Richmond Kickers struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.