USL League One Cup · Jul 11, 2026 23:00
NY Cosmos PWR 35
Portland Hearts o…
PWR 35
3-3
predicted
NY Cosmos PWR 35
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Portland Hearts of Pine Win
Score
3-3
Confidence
42%
Tier
SKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (7%)3-1 (6%)2-0 (5%)2-1 (4%)3-2 (3%)1-0 (2%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.34x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.41x
Over 2.5
61%
61%
Under 2.5
39%
BTTS
Yes 58%
Over 3.5
81%
81%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Portland Heart…
WWLLL
STABLE
NY Cosmos
WLLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (25.8%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Portland Heart…vs
0.89
NY CosmosGoal Probability
Portland He…
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
NY Cosmos
0
41%
1
37%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
3-1 (6%)4-1 (6%)3-2 (5%)4-2 (5%)5-1 (5%)2-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 100% | 0% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 92% | 8% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 81% | 19% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 66% | 34% | OVER |
| 5.5 | 49% | 51% | - |
| 6.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Portland He…+1
Gap#5
NY Cosmos
WR 100% 4 pts
WR 100% 3 pts
Portland Heart…
8.0%
| Jul 03 | Portlan… v Naples | 2-3 |
| Jun 24 | Portlan… v Richmon… | 5-1 |
| Jun 19 | Portlan… v Westche… | 5-1 |
| Jun 13 | Portlan… v Chattan… | 1-2 |
| Jun 07 | Portlan… v Brooklyn | 5-1 |
| Jun 04 | Portlan… v Corpus … | 3-2 |
| May 30 | Portlan… v Spokane… | 2-1 |
| May 23 | Portlan… v Greenvi… | 1-1 |
| May 16 | Portlan… v Rhode I… | 2-1 |
| May 10 | Portlan… v Union O… | 2-2 |
NY Cosmos
4.0%
| Jul 08 | NY Cosm… v Naples | 1-0 |
| Jul 04 | NY Cosm… v Greenvi… | 0-3 |
| Jun 28 | NY Cosm… v Santos … | 1-2 |
| Jun 21 | NY Cosm… v Forward… | 3-1 |
| Jun 13 | NY Cosm… v One Kno… | 3-1 |
| Jun 06 | NY Cosm… v Hartfor… | 1-4 |
| May 30 | NY Cosm… v Sarasot… | 2-1 |
| May 27 | NY Cosm… v Union O… | 1-2 |
| May 24 | NY Cosm… v Alta | 4-0 |
| May 15 | NY Cosm… v Westche… | 2-3 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| May 02, 2026 | Portland Hear… | 3-1 | NY Cosmos |
| Mar 14, 2026 | NY Cosmos | 1-3 | Portland Hear… |
Decision Breakdown
HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
52%
Market
60%
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Portland Hearts of Pine struggling (3L in last 5)
NY Cosmos struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.