USL League One Cup · Jul 11, 2026 23:30
Tampa Bay Rowdies PWR 35
Tampa Bay Rowdies PWR 35
4-1
predicted
Naples
PWR 35
59%
22%
19%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
1X (Home/Draw)
Double Chance · Odds imply 72% home + 17% draw = 89% combined
95%
accuracy
1.18x
Final Verdict
Prediction
Tampa Bay Rowdies Win
Score
4-1
Confidence
68%
Tier
Standard Pick
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (11%)2-1 (9%)3-0 (9%)1-0 (8%)3-1 (8%)1-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
89%
Home/Draw
1.18x
DC X2
Away/Draw
3.68x
Over 2.5
62%
62%
Under 2.5
38%
BTTS
Yes 53%
Over 3.5
58%
58%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Tampa Bay Rowd…
LWLDW
STABLE
Naples
LLLLL
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy73%
FORM_MOMENTUMAWAY_LEAKINGFORM_DOMINANT
Full data available (Tier 1)H2H: 1/3 draws (33%) = HIGH riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (26.3%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.56
Tampa Bay Rowd…vs
0.86
NaplesGoal Probability
Tampa Bay R…
0
8%
1
20%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
Naples
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
5%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
3-0 (12%)4-0 (11%)2-0 (11%)5-0 (8%)3-1 (7%)1-0 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 77% | 23% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 57% | 43% | - |
| 4.5 | 38% | 62% | - |
| 5.5 | 22% | 78% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 12% | 89% | UNDER |
League Position
#1
Tampa Bay R…+4
Gap#5
Naples
WR 100% 9 pts
WR 0% 2 pts
Tampa Bay Rowd…
10.0%
| Jul 04 | Tampa B… v Lexingt… | 1-4 |
| Jun 20 | Tampa B… v Brooklyn | 0-2 |
| Jun 13 | Tampa B… v Hartfor… | 0-1 |
| Jun 10 | Tampa B… v Charles… | 2-2 |
| Jun 06 | Tampa B… v Sportin… | 0-2 |
| May 30 | Tampa B… v Louisvi… | 0-2 |
| May 23 | Tampa B… v Phoenix… | 3-0 |
| May 21 | Tampa B… v New Mex… | 0-1 |
| May 16 | Tampa B… v Miami FC | 1-4 |
| May 09 | Tampa B… v Rhode I… | 1-1 |
Naples
0.0%
| Jul 08 | Naples v NY Cosm… | 1-0 |
| Jul 03 | Naples v Portlan… | 2-3 |
| Jun 20 | Naples v Chattan… | 1-0 |
| Jun 13 | Naples v Charlot… | 4-3 |
| Jun 06 | Naples v Sarasot… | 0-2 |
| Jun 03 | Naples v Charlot… | 1-5 |
| May 31 | Naples v Union O… | 2-1 |
| May 23 | Naples v Westche… | 1-0 |
| May 17 | Naples v Sportin… | 1-1 |
| May 14 | Naples v Boise | 2-0 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Feb 18, 2026 | Tampa Bay Row… | 3-0 | Naples |
| Jul 04, 2025 | Naples | 0-2 | Tampa Bay Row… |
| Apr 16, 2025 | Naples | 1-1 | Tampa Bay Row… |
Decision Breakdown
ODDS60+M70 (77.4%)HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%)M85+S60 (75.3%)HOME_FORT (73.3%)HWR60+ (68.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
89%
Standings
86%
Market
94%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Naples struggling (5L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.