USL League One Cup · Jul 11, 2026 23:30
Sarasota Paradise PWR 35
Miami FC PWR 35
Sarasota Paradise PWR 35
VS
Miami FC PWR 35
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Sarasota Paradise Win
Score
?
Confidence
42%
Tier
SKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (28%)2-0 (20%)0-0 (20%)3-0 (9%)1-1 (6%)2-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
2.19x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.38x
Over 2.5
22%
Under 2.5
78%
78%
BTTS
No
No 14%
Over 3.5
39%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Sarasota Parad…
DDLWL
STABLE
Miami FC
DLDLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (28.3%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Sarasota Parad…vs
0.20
Miami FCGoal Probability
Sarasota Pa…
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
12%
4
4%
Miami FC
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (10%)2-1 (10%)1-0 (8%)2-0 (8%)1-2 (6%)3-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 82% | 18% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 61% | 39% | - |
| 3.5 | 38% | 62% | - |
| 4.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Sarasota Pa…-2
Gap#2
Miami FC
WR 0% 3 pts
WR 100% 6 pts
Sarasota Parad…
8.0%
| Jul 08 | Sarasot… v Greenvi… | 0-0 |
| Jul 03 | Sarasot… v Richmon… | 0-0 |
| Jun 21 | Sarasot… v Corpus … | 4-1 |
| Jun 13 | Sarasot… v Union O… | 2-0 |
| Jun 11 | Sarasot… v Alta | 3-1 |
| Jun 06 | Sarasot… v Naples | 0-2 |
| May 30 | Sarasot… v NY Cosm… | 2-1 |
| May 28 | Sarasot… v Boise | 0-2 |
| May 24 | Sarasot… v Spokane… | 1-0 |
| May 16 | Sarasot… v Alta | 1-2 |
Miami FC
8.0%
| Jul 05 | Miami FC v Birming… | 1-1 |
| Jun 24 | Miami FC v Orange … | 2-4 |
| Jun 14 | Miami FC v Oakland… | 0-0 |
| May 30 | Miami FC v Pittsbu… | 2-0 |
| May 23 | Miami FC v Louisvi… | 4-3 |
| May 21 | Miami FC v Detroit… | 2-1 |
| May 16 | Miami FC v Tampa B… | 1-4 |
| May 08 | Miami FC v Birming… | 0-0 |
| May 02 | Miami FC v Brooklyn | 3-2 |
| Apr 29 | Miami FC v Naples | 4-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Jul 13, 2025 | Sarasota Para… | 3-0 | Miami FC |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
83%
Standings
46%
Market
35%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.