Copa Argentina · Jul 17, 2026 00:45
Sarmiento de JunĂn PWR 48
Boca Juniors PWR 57
Sarmiento de JunĂn PWR 48
2-1
predicted
Boca Juniors PWR 57
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Sarmiento de JunĂn to win (50% confidence)
Score
2-1
Confidence
50%
Tier
STANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (31%)1-0 (28%)2-0 (12%)0-1 (9%)1-1 (8%)3-0 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
12%
Under 2.5
88%
88%
BTTS
No
No 14%
Over 3.5
10%
Team Comparison
32Attack49
62Defense72
Goals/G
0.91.4
Conc/G
1.10.8
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Sarmiento de J…
LWLLW
STABLE
Boca Juniors
WLDLL
STABLE
Squad & Player Stats
Sarmiento d…
Boca Juniors
| # | Player | Pos | App | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Junior Marabel | For | 7.93 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| 25 | Carlos Villalba | Mid | 7.91 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 34 | AgustĂn Seyral | Def | 7.49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 3 | Lucas Suárez | Def | 7.24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 14 | Mauricio MartĂnez | Mid | 7.23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 29 | Thiago SantamarĂa | Def | 6.95 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 2 | Juan Manuel Insau… | Def | 6.91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 15 | Cristian Zabala | Mid | 6.91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 35 | Facundo Alaggia | Mid | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 1 | Javier Burrai | Goa | 6.89 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 5 | Manuel Garcia | Mid | 6.89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 77 | Nicolás Pasquini | Def | 6.47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 11 | Jonatan GĂłmez | Mid | 6.34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| - | Julian Contrera | Mid | 6.31 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| - | Alexis González | For | 6.24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Pablo Daniel Magn… | For | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| - | Santiago Salle | Mid | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 33 | Gabriel DĂaz | Def | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 40 | Brandon Márquez | For | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 30 | Manuel MĂłnaco | Mid | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Copa Argentina
Expected Goals (xG)
0.90
Sarmiento de J…vs
0.28
Boca JuniorsGoal Probability
Sarmiento d…
0
41%
1
37%
2
17%
3
5%
4
1%
Boca Juniors
0
76%
1
21%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (19%)0-0 (18%)1-1 (13%)1-0 (12%)0-2 (10%)1-2 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 82% | 18% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 52% | 48% | - |
| 2.5 | 25% | 75% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 3% | 97% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
Sarmiento de J…
8.0%
| May 03 | Sarmien… v Belgran… | 4-0 |
| Apr 26 | Sarmien… v Tigre | 1-0 |
| Apr 20 | Sarmien… v Rosario… | 2-1 |
| Apr 13 | Sarmien… v Gimnasi… | 1-2 |
| Apr 09 | Sarmien… v Tristan… | 1-0 |
| Apr 02 | Sarmien… v Barraca… | 1-2 |
| Mar 22 | Sarmien… v Aldosivi | 2-0 |
| Mar 16 | Sarmien… v River P… | 2-0 |
| Mar 11 | Sarmien… v Racing … | 0-0 |
| Mar 04 | Sarmien… v Estudia… | 1-0 |
Boca Juniors
6.0%
| Jul 09 | Boca Ju… v Athleti… | 1-0 |
| May 29 | Boca Ju… v Univers… | 0-1 |
| May 20 | Boca Ju… v Cruzeiro | 1-1 |
| May 10 | Boca Ju… v Huracan | 2-3 |
| May 06 | Boca Ju… v Barcelo… | 1-0 |
| May 02 | Boca Ju… v Central… | 1-2 |
| Apr 29 | Boca Ju… v Cruzeiro | 1-0 |
| Apr 24 | Boca Ju… v Defensa… | 0-4 |
| Apr 19 | Boca Ju… v River P… | 0-1 |
| Apr 15 | Boca Ju… v Barcelo… | 3-0 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Jun 15, 2025 | Sarmiento de … | 1-0 | Boca Juniors |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Boca Juniors | 2-1 | Sarmiento de … |
| Nov 11, 2024 | Sarmiento de … | 0-2 | Boca Juniors |
| Feb 02, 2024 | Boca Juniors | 1-1 | Sarmiento de … |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Sarmiento de … | 1-0 | Boca Juniors |
| Jul 03, 2023 | Boca Juniors | 2-0 | Sarmiento de … |
| Oct 12, 2022 | Sarmiento de … | 0-1 | Boca Juniors |
| Nov 21, 2021 | Boca Juniors | 2-0 | Sarmiento de … |
| Mar 01, 2021 | Boca Juniors | 1-1 | Sarmiento de … |
Decision Breakdown
SOT+MOM (75.5%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
60%
Momentum
69%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Sarmiento de JunĂn struggling (3L in last 5)
Boca Juniors struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.