Copa Argentina · Jul 17, 2026 21:45
San Lorenzo de Al… PWR 42
Deportivo Riestra PWR 32
San Lorenzo de Al… PWR 42
1-0
predicted
Deportivo Riestra PWR 32
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: San Lorenzo de Almagro to win (50% confidence)
Score
1-0
Confidence
50%
Tier
STANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (23%)2-0 (22%)3-0 (14%)0-0 (12%)1-1 (5%)2-1 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
34%
Under 2.5
66%
66%
BTTS
No
No 15%
Over 3.5
4%
Team Comparison
28Attack21
76Defense55
Goals/G
0.80.6
Conc/G
0.71.3
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
San Lorenzo de…
LDDDL
STABLE
Deportivo Ries…
DLLDW
STABLE
Squad & Player Stats
San Lorenzo…
Deportivo R…
| # | Player | Pos | App | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Matias Reali | Mid | 7.05 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 24 | Nicolás Tripichio | Mid | 6.99 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | Manuel Insaurralde | Mid | 6.92 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| 17 | Gregorio Rodriguez | For | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 28 | Nahuel Barrios | Mid | 6.89 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 26 | Gonzalo Abrego | Mid | 6.87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 4 | Jhohan Romaña | Def | 6.86 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Alexis Cuello | For | 6.8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 55 | Lautaro Montenegro | Def | 6.78 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| 32 | Ezequiel Herrera | Def | 6.72 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 25 | José Devecchi | Goa | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 12 | Orlando Gill | Goa | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| 29 | Rodrigo Auzmendi | For | 6.67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 | Agustin Ladstatter | Def | 6.66 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| - | Facundo Gulli | For | 6.66 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| 5 | Ignacio Perruzzi | Mid | 6.64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 | Facundo Gulli | Mid | 6.59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| 3 | Teo Rodríguez Pag… | Mid | 6.5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
| 6 | Mathias de Ritis | Mid | 6.44 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| 13 | Juan Rattalino | Mid | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Copa Argentina
Expected Goals (xG)
1.91
San Lorenzo de…vs
0.20
Deportivo Ries…Goal Probability
San Lorenzo…
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
Deportivo R…
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
0-0 (28%)1-0 (27%)2-0 (13%)0-1 (9%)1-1 (8%)3-0 (4%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 72% | 28% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 36% | 64% | - |
| 2.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
San Lorenzo de…
6.0%
| May 27 | San Lor… v Deporti… | 0-1 |
| May 21 | San Lor… v Santos | 2-2 |
| May 11 | San Lor… v River P… | 1-1 |
| May 06 | San Lor… v Deporti… | 0-0 |
| May 02 | San Lor… v Indepen… | 1-2 |
| Apr 29 | San Lor… v Santos | 1-1 |
| Apr 25 | San Lor… v Platense | 0-1 |
| Apr 21 | San Lor… v Vélez S… | 0-0 |
| Apr 17 | San Lor… v Deporti… | 2-0 |
| Apr 12 | San Lor… v Newell’… | 0-0 |
Deportivo Ries…
8.0%
| May 27 | Deporti… v Palesti… | 1-1 |
| May 20 | Deporti… v Atletic… | 4-1 |
| May 06 | Deporti… v Gremio | 0-3 |
| May 02 | Deporti… v Lanús | 0-0 |
| Apr 30 | Deporti… v Atletic… | 2-1 |
| Apr 24 | Deporti… v Indepen… | 2-0 |
| Apr 20 | Deporti… v Tallere… | 2-0 |
| Apr 15 | Deporti… v Gremio | 1-0 |
| Apr 11 | Deporti… v Institu… | 0-1 |
| Apr 09 | Deporti… v Palesti… | 0-0 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Mar 26, 2026 | Deportivo Rie… | 1-1 | San Lorenzo d… |
| Nov 01, 2025 | San Lorenzo d… | 1-0 | Deportivo Rie… |
| Apr 20, 2025 | Deportivo Rie… | 0-0 | San Lorenzo d… |
| May 12, 2024 | Deportivo Rie… | 1-0 | San Lorenzo d… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
50%
Momentum
90%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.