Úrvalsdeild · Jul 12, 2026 18:00

Fram Reykjavík PWR 35
5-1
predicted

Thor Akureyri PWR 35
61% 22% 17%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Fram Reykjavík Win
Score
5-1
Confidence
73%
Tier Strong Pick
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (12%)2-0 (8%)3-1 (4%)1-0 (4%)2-1 (3%)1-1 (1%)
All Markets
1X2 Suggested
H
Over 2.5
56%
Under 2.5
44%
BTTS No
No 26%
Over 3.5 77%
77%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Fram Reykjavík DWLWW
STABLE
Thor Akureyri DLDLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
Strong Pick · 5 rules
DecisionBET
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk21%
Accuracy82%
FORM_MOMENTUMAWAY_LEAKINGPOSITION_GAPPOINTS_GAPTABLE_EXTREMES
Standings data available (Tier 2)Away team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskElevated draw risk (20.7%) - consider AH✓ Passed (5 independent rules, 73% confidence)
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Fram Reykjavík
vs
0.31
Thor Akureyri
Goal Probability
Fram Reykja…
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Thor Akurey…
0
73%
1
23%
2
4%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
3-1 (7%)4-1 (7%)3-0 (6%)4-0 (6%)5-1 (6%)2-1 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 100% 1% OVER
1.5 97% 3% OVER
2.5 90% 11% OVER
3.5 77% 23% OVER
4.5 60% 40% -
5.5 43% 57% -
6.5 28% 73% UNDER
League Position
#3
Fram Reykja…
+9
Gap
#12
Thor Akurey…
WR 67% 27 pts WR 17% 8 pts
Fram Reykjavík 14.0%
Jul 06 Fram Re… v Keflavík 1-1
Jun 29 Fram Re… v IA Akra… 0-2
Jun 21 Fram Re… v Víkingu… 0-5
Jun 15 Fram Re… v KA Akur… 3-4
May 29 Fram Re… v Breidab… 4-3
May 22 Fram Re… v Stjarnan 0-1
May 17 Fram Re… v KR Reyk… 2-2
May 08 Fram Re… v Valur R… 3-2
May 03 Fram Re… v FH hafn… 3-4
Apr 27 Fram Re… v IBV Ves… 5-1
Thor Akureyri 4.0%
Jul 02 Thor Ak… v KR Reyk… 3-3
Jun 28 Thor Ak… v Valur R… 2-4
Jun 21 Thor Ak… v FH hafn… 1-1
Jun 14 Thor Ak… v IBV Ves… 1-4
May 31 Thor Ak… v Stjarnan 1-3
May 22 Thor Ak… v Keflavík 1-0
May 17 Thor Ak… v IA Akra… 1-2
May 08 Thor Ak… v Víkingu… 6-0
May 02 Thor Ak… v KA Akur… 0-1
Apr 27 Thor Ak… v Breidab… 4-0
Head-to-Head (6)
Apr 23, 2026 Thor Akureyri 1-0 Fram Reykjavík
Jul 27, 2021 Thor Akureyri 0-2 Fram Reykjavík
May 21, 2021 Fram Reykjavík 4-1 Thor Akureyri
Feb 13, 2021 Fram Reykjavík 3-2 Thor Akureyri
Sep 26, 2020 Thor Akureyri 0-2 Fram Reykjavík
Jul 26, 2020 Fram Reykjavík 6-1 Thor Akureyri
Decision Breakdown
S70+DR<22 (82.1%)S75+DR<25 (81.8%)M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%)GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)M85+S60 (75.3%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)HWR60+ (68.3%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)CS65+DR<30 (68.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
78%
Market
50%
Key Factors
Fram Reykjavík in strong form (3W in last 5)
Thor Akureyri struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.