Eliteserien · Jul 16, 2026 17:00
VĂĄlerenga PWR 43
Aalesund PWR 35
VĂĄlerenga PWR 43
2-1
predicted
Aalesund PWR 35
35%
27%
38%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
VĂĄlerenga Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
35%
Tier
SKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (8%)3-1 (8%)2-0 (7%)3-0 (7%)1-1 (5%)1-0 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
69%
69%
Under 2.5
31%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 64%
Over 3.5
52%
Team Comparison
22Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
4.00.0
VĂĄlerenga
WLLWL
STABLE
Aalesund
WDDWW
STABLE
Squad & Player Stats
VĂĄlerenga
Aalesund
| # | Player | Pos | App | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Aaron Kiil Olsen | Def | 6.97 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 11 | Elias Sørensen | Mid | 6.95 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 28 | Magnus Westergaard | Mid | 6.88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 8 | Henrik Bjørdal | For | 6.85 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 17 | Mathias Grundetje… | Mid | 6.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 26 | Filip Thorvaldsen | Mid | 6.63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 37 | Ivan Näsberg | Def | 6.47 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 2 | Kolbeinn Finnsson | Def | 6.46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 10 | Carl Lange | Mid | 6.42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| - | Ole Christian Sae… | For | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 1 | Oscar Hedvall | Goa | 6.29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 77 | Lucas Haren | Mid | 6.28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 3 | Hakon Sjatil | Def | 6.26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 6 | Vegar Eggen Heden… | Def | 6.25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 9 | Gabriel Rajkovic | For | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| - | Kevin Tshiembe | Def | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Stian Sjøvold Tho… | Mid | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 21 | Magnus Smelhus Sj… | Goa | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 29 | Ambina Fidèle Bri… | Mid | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 24 | Petter Strand | Mid | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk30%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Similar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskAway draws 40% away = VERY HIGHConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (30.0%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.00
VĂĄlerengavs
1.11
AalesundGoal Probability
VĂĄlerenga
0
5%
1
15%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
Aalesund
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
8%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (8%)1-2 (8%)2-1 (7%)2-2 (7%)1-3 (5%)2-3 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 73% | 27% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 52% | 48% | - |
| 4.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 18% | 82% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
League Position
#9
VĂĄlerenga+4
Gap#13
Aalesund
WR 50% 14 pts
WR 20% 11 pts
VĂĄlerenga
8.0%
| Jul 04 | Våleren… v Fredrik… | 3-1 |
| Jun 27 | Våleren… v GAIS | 1-2 |
| Jun 18 | Våleren… v IFK Göt… | 1-0 |
| May 29 | Våleren… v Kristia… | 3-1 |
| May 25 | Våleren… v Start | 2-0 |
| May 16 | Våleren… v Sarpsbo… | 3-2 |
| May 08 | Våleren… v HamKam | 1-0 |
| May 03 | Våleren… v KFUM Os… | 2-2 |
| Apr 26 | Våleren… v Molde | 5-1 |
| Apr 19 | Våleren… v Lillest… | 0-2 |
Aalesund
16.0%
| Jun 27 | Aalesund v Kristia… | 0-3 |
| May 29 | Aalesund v HamKam | 2-2 |
| May 25 | Aalesund v Tromsø … | 1-1 |
| May 20 | Aalesund v Brann | 2-1 |
| May 16 | Aalesund v Rosenbo… | 2-3 |
| May 03 | Aalesund v Sandefj… | 1-0 |
| Apr 26 | Aalesund v Kristia… | 1-1 |
| Apr 22 | Aalesund v Brann | 2-1 |
| Apr 18 | Aalesund v Bodø/Gl… | 3-0 |
| Apr 12 | Aalesund v KFUM Os… | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Aug 24, 2025 | Aalesund | 2-3 | VĂĄlerenga |
| Jul 20, 2025 | VĂĄlerenga | 3-0 | Aalesund |
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
92%
Standings
65%
Market
50%
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Aalesund in strong form (3W in last 5)
VĂĄlerenga struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.