Premier League · Jul 18, 2026 14:00
Atyrau PWR 35
Kairat Almaty PWR 35
Atyrau PWR 35
1-2
predicted
Kairat Almaty PWR 35
31%
28%
41%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Kairat Almaty Win
Score
1-2
Confidence
42%
Tier
SKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (8%)3-1 (7%)2-2 (7%)1-1 (6%)3-2 (6%)2-0 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
73%
73%
Under 2.5
27%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 73%
Over 3.5
16%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Atyrau
LLLDD
DOWN
Kairat Almaty
WLLWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk32%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_POINTS_GAP
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 43% at home = very high riskH2H: 4/10 draws (40%) = VERY HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 73% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (32.3%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
2.55
Atyrauvs
1.59
Kairat AlmatyGoal Probability
Atyrau
0
8%
1
20%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
Kairat Alma…
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4
5%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (15%)1-1 (13%)0-0 (13%)1-0 (12%)0-2 (8%)1-2 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 87% | 13% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 61% | 39% | - |
| 2.5 | 34% | 66% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#9
Atyrau-7
Gap#2
Kairat Alma…
WR 29% 18 pts
WR 60% 39 pts
Atyrau
4.0%
| Jul 05 | Atyrau v Kaspiy | 1-2 |
| Jun 27 | Atyrau v Kaspiy | 2-0 |
| Jun 21 | Atyrau v Yelimay… | 1-2 |
| Jun 13 | Atyrau v Kairat … | 1-1 |
| May 28 | Atyrau v FK Tobo… | 1-1 |
| May 23 | Atyrau v Zhetysu | 0-0 |
| May 17 | Atyrau v Aktobe | 1-1 |
| May 09 | Atyrau v Okzhetp… | 0-0 |
| May 03 | Atyrau v Altay | 1-0 |
| Apr 29 | Atyrau v Zhetysu | 0-2 |
Kairat Almaty
12.0%
| Jul 08 | Kairat … v Sutjeska | 2-1 |
| Jul 02 | Kairat … v Okzhetp… | 5-0 |
| Jun 27 | Kairat … v Okzhetp… | 1-3 |
| Jun 21 | Kairat … v Kyzyl-Z… | 2-4 |
| Jun 17 | Kairat … v Kyzyl-Z… | 3-0 |
| Jun 13 | Kairat … v Atyrau | 1-1 |
| May 28 | Kairat … v Ordabasy | 2-1 |
| May 23 | Kairat … v Kaisar | 0-0 |
| May 17 | Kairat … v Zhenys | 1-2 |
| May 10 | Kairat … v Ulytau | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Jun 13, 2026 | Kairat Almaty | 1-1 | Atyrau |
| Apr 16, 2025 | Kairat Almaty | 4-0 | Atyrau |
| Apr 06, 2025 | Atyrau | 1-4 | Kairat Almaty |
| Nov 10, 2024 | Atyrau | 0-1 | Kairat Almaty |
| May 08, 2024 | Atyrau | 3-1 | Kairat Almaty |
| May 04, 2024 | Kairat Almaty | 1-0 | Atyrau |
| Oct 29, 2023 | Atyrau | 0-0 | Kairat Almaty |
| Jun 07, 2023 | Atyrau | 2-1 | Kairat Almaty |
| May 17, 2023 | Kairat Almaty | 1-1 | Atyrau |
| Mar 05, 2023 | Kairat Almaty | 2-2 | Atyrau |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
79%
Standings
36%
Market
50%
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Kairat Almaty in strong form (3W in last 5)
Atyrau struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.