Premier League · Jul 18, 2026 13:00
Kyzyl-Zhar PWR 35
FK Tobol Kostanay PWR 35
Kyzyl-Zhar PWR 35
2-0
predicted
FK Tobol Kostanay PWR 35
31%
28%
41%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
FK Tobol Kostanay Win
Score
2-0
Confidence
37%
Tier
SKIP
LIKELY SCORES
2-1 (10%)2-0 (9%)3-1 (8%)1-1 (8%)3-0 (8%)1-0 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
63%
63%
Under 2.5
37%
BTTS
Yes 58%
Over 3.5
17%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Kyzyl-Zhar
LLLLL
DOWN
FK Tobol Kosta…
LWLWD
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk20%
Accuracy38%
HOME_LEAKING
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateElevated draw risk (20.2%) - consider AHElite league - reduced threshold
Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
2.45
Kyzyl-Zharvs
1.02
FK Tobol Kosta…Goal Probability
Kyzyl-Zhar
0
9%
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4
13%
FK Tobol Ko…
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
6%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
0-1 (16%)1-1 (12%)0-0 (12%)0-2 (11%)1-0 (9%)1-2 (9%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 89% | 12% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 64% | 36% | - |
| 2.5 | 37% | 63% | - |
| 3.5 | 17% | 83% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 7% | 93% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#14
Kyzyl-Zhar+1
Gap#15
FK Tobol Ko…
WR 33% 15 pts
WR 0% 15 pts
Kyzyl-Zhar
0.0%
| Jul 04 | Kyzyl-Z… v Yelimay… | 0-1 |
| Jun 27 | Kyzyl-Z… v Yelimay… | 2-0 |
| Jun 21 | Kyzyl-Z… v Kairat … | 2-4 |
| Jun 17 | Kyzyl-Z… v Kairat … | 3-0 |
| Jun 13 | Kyzyl-Z… v FK Tobo… | 2-0 |
| May 28 | Kyzyl-Z… v Zhetysu | 3-2 |
| May 23 | Kyzyl-Z… v Aktobe | 0-0 |
| May 17 | Kyzyl-Z… v Altay | 1-2 |
| May 13 | Kyzyl-Z… v Zhenys | 2-0 |
| May 09 | Kyzyl-Z… v FC Asta… | 2-1 |
FK Tobol Kosta…
10.0%
| Jul 04 | FK Tobo… v Altay | 1-0 |
| Jun 28 | FK Tobo… v Altay | 3-1 |
| Jun 21 | FK Tobo… v Okzhetp… | 2-1 |
| Jun 13 | FK Tobo… v Kyzyl-Z… | 2-0 |
| May 28 | FK Tobo… v Atyrau | 1-1 |
| May 23 | FK Tobo… v Ordabasy | 0-3 |
| May 17 | FK Tobo… v Kaisar | 2-1 |
| May 13 | FK Tobo… v Kaisar | 1-1 |
| May 09 | FK Tobo… v Irtysh | 1-0 |
| May 03 | FK Tobo… v Zhenys | 1-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Jun 13, 2026 | FK Tobol Kost… | 2-0 | Kyzyl-Zhar |
| Aug 02, 2025 | Kyzyl-Zhar | 0-2 | FK Tobol Kost… |
| May 04, 2025 | FK Tobol Kost… | 2-1 | Kyzyl-Zhar |
| Aug 11, 2024 | FK Tobol Kost… | 1-2 | Kyzyl-Zhar |
| Mar 31, 2024 | Kyzyl-Zhar | 0-0 | FK Tobol Kost… |
| Sep 27, 2023 | Kyzyl-Zhar | 1-1 | FK Tobol Kost… |
| Jun 03, 2023 | FK Tobol Kost… | 1-0 | Kyzyl-Zhar |
| Jun 26, 2022 | Kyzyl-Zhar | 1-3 | FK Tobol Kost… |
| Mar 17, 2022 | FK Tobol Kost… | 2-0 | Kyzyl-Zhar |
| Oct 17, 2021 | Kyzyl-Zhar | 0-2 | FK Tobol Kost… |
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
86%
Standings
61%
Market
50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Kyzyl-Zhar struggling (5L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.