Premier League · Jul 18, 2026 15:00
Kaisar PWR 35
Kaspiy PWR 35
Kaisar PWR 35
1-1
predicted
Kaspiy PWR 35
49%
24%
27%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
Tier
STANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (21%)2-0 (18%)0-0 (13%)3-0 (10%)1-1 (8%)2-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5
67%
67%
BTTS
No
No 27%
Over 3.5
12%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Kaisar
DWDWL
STABLE
Kaspiy
WWLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 70% at home = very high riskBoth teams low-scoring = 37.8% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 80% = 50.7% draw rateElite league - reduced threshold
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67
Kaisarvs
0.40
KaspiyGoal Probability
Kaisar
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
Kaspiy
0
67%
1
27%
2
5%
3
1%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (17%)0-0 (16%)1-1 (13%)0-1 (12%)2-0 (10%)2-1 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 84% | 16% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 55% | 45% | - |
| 2.5 | 28% | 72% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 12% | 88% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 0% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#11
Kaisar+3
Gap#14
Kaspiy
WR 10% 18 pts
WR 20% 14 pts
Kaisar
12.0%
| Jul 05 | Kaisar v Irtysh | 0-0 |
| Jun 28 | Kaisar v Irtysh | 1-2 |
| Jun 20 | Kaisar v Ulytau | 0-0 |
| Jun 14 | Kaisar v Kaspiy | 1-2 |
| May 28 | Kaisar v Yelimay… | 2-3 |
| May 23 | Kaisar v Kairat … | 0-0 |
| May 17 | Kaisar v FK Tobo… | 2-1 |
| May 13 | Kaisar v FK Tobo… | 1-1 |
| May 10 | Kaisar v Aktobe | 3-0 |
| May 06 | Kaisar v Kairat … | 1-2 |
Kaspiy
8.0%
| Jul 05 | Kaspiy v Atyrau | 1-2 |
| Jun 27 | Kaspiy v Atyrau | 2-0 |
| Jun 20 | Kaspiy v Ordabasy | 2-0 |
| Jun 14 | Kaspiy v Kaisar | 1-2 |
| May 28 | Kaspiy v Zhenys | 1-0 |
| May 22 | Kaspiy v Irtysh | 2-2 |
| May 16 | Kaspiy v Ulytau | 1-0 |
| May 09 | Kaspiy v Yelimay… | 0-1 |
| May 03 | Kaspiy v FC Asta… | 1-0 |
| Apr 30 | Kaspiy v Ordabasy | 3-0 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| Jun 14, 2026 | Kaspiy | 1-2 | Kaisar |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Kaisar | 3-1 | Kaspiy |
| Apr 01, 2023 | Kaspiy | 1-3 | Kaisar |
| Jul 29, 2022 | Kaisar | 1-2 | Kaspiy |
| Jul 23, 2022 | Kaspiy | 1-2 | Kaisar |
| Jun 19, 2021 | Kaspiy | 2-4 | Kaisar |
| Apr 09, 2021 | Kaisar | 2-1 | Kaspiy |
| Oct 30, 2020 | Kaisar | 0-1 | Kaspiy |
| Aug 26, 2020 | Kaspiy | 1-0 | Kaisar |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
84%
Standings
52%
Market
50%
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Kaspiy struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.