Veikkausliiga · Jul 11, 2026 12:00
FC Lahti PWR 36
HJK Helsinki PWR 37
FC Lahti PWR 36
0 - 0
FT
HJK Helsinki PWR 37
35%
27%
38%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (53% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
53%
Tier
STANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-2 (7%)2-1 (7%)1-2 (6%)1-1 (6%)3-2 (5%)3-1 (5%)
WRONG 0-0
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.75x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.57x
Over 2.5
75%
75%
Under 2.5
25%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 77%
Over 3.5
52%
Team Comparison
3Attack6
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
1.02.0
FC Lahti
WDDLL
STABLE
HJK Helsinki
WLWDW
STABLE
Squad & Player Stats
FC Lahti
HJK Helsinki
| # | Player | Pos | App | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | Osku Maukonen | Goa | 7.28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Yohan Cassubie | Mid | 6.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Momodou Sarr | For | 6.57 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Romain Sans | Def | 6.49 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| - | Romaric Yapi | Def | 6.45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Otso Koskinen | Mid | 6.14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Erik Andersson | Mid | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Amir Belabid | For | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Topias Inkinen | Def | -0.02 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Armend Kabashi | Mid | -0.03 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Väinö Vehkonen | Def | -0.04 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Daniel Heikkinen | Mid | -0.04 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Aatu Hakala | Goa | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Veikkausliiga
Expected Goals (xG)
2.23
FC Lahtivs
2.02
HJK HelsinkiGoal Probability
FC Lahti
0
11%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4
11%
HJK Helsinki
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4
9%
CORRECT SCORES
1-2 (9%)1-1 (8%)2-2 (7%)2-1 (7%)1-3 (6%)0-2 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 73% | 28% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 52% | 48% | - |
| 4.5 | 32% | 68% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 18% | 82% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
League Position
#8
FC Lahti-3
Gap#5
HJK Helsinki
WR 38% 16 pts
WR 43% 22 pts
FC Lahti
8.0%
| Jul 04 | FC Lahti v IF Gnis… | 1-0 |
| Jun 27 | FC Lahti v AC Oulu | 1-1 |
| Jun 23 | FC Lahti v Turku PS | 0-0 |
| Jun 17 | FC Lahti v IF Gnis… | 1-0 |
| Jun 13 | FC Lahti v SJK Sei… | 2-3 |
| Jun 10 | FC Lahti v Ilves | 5-2 |
| May 30 | FC Lahti v Ilves | 5-0 |
| May 26 | FC Lahti v IFK Mar… | 0-1 |
| May 23 | FC Lahti v KuPS | 2-1 |
| May 18 | FC Lahti v Vaasan … | 1-1 |
HJK Helsinki
14.0%
| Jul 01 | HJK Hel… v Ilves | 2-1 |
| Jun 27 | HJK Hel… v KuPS | 0-4 |
| Jun 23 | HJK Hel… v IFK Mar… | 0-4 |
| Jun 17 | HJK Hel… v Inter T… | 3-3 |
| Jun 13 | HJK Hel… v FF Jaro | 2-5 |
| Jun 09 | HJK Hel… v Honka | 1-7 |
| May 30 | HJK Hel… v IFK Mar… | 1-0 |
| May 26 | HJK Hel… v MyPa | 11-1 |
| May 22 | HJK Hel… v Vaasan … | 2-1 |
| May 16 | HJK Hel… v Ilves | 2-2 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| May 04, 2026 | HJK Helsinki | 1-0 | FC Lahti |
| Jan 24, 2026 | FC Lahti | 2-0 | HJK Helsinki |
| Aug 03, 2024 | FC Lahti | 2-1 | HJK Helsinki |
| Apr 11, 2024 | HJK Helsinki | 4-0 | FC Lahti |
| Feb 27, 2024 | FC Lahti | 3-0 | HJK Helsinki |
| Jul 08, 2023 | HJK Helsinki | 0-1 | FC Lahti |
| Jun 07, 2023 | FC Lahti | 1-2 | HJK Helsinki |
| Feb 08, 2023 | HJK Helsinki | 5-2 | FC Lahti |
| May 17, 2022 | HJK Helsinki | 3-2 | FC Lahti |
| May 12, 2022 | FC Lahti | 1-1 | HJK Helsinki |
Decision Breakdown
Player
58%
Momentum
53%
Standings
44%
Market
38%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
HJK Helsinki in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.