Veikkausliiga · Jul 11, 2026 14:00
IF Gnistan PWR 35
IFK Mariehamn PWR 36
IF Gnistan PWR 35
0-1
predicted
IFK Mariehamn PWR 36
61%
22%
17%
HomeDrawAway
Safest Bet
1X (Home/Draw)
Double Chance · Odds imply 70% home + 18% draw = 88% combined
92%
accuracy
1.19x
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: IFK Mariehamn to win (92% confidence)
Score
0-1
Confidence
92%
Tier
Strong Pick
LIKELY SCORES
3-0 (14%)2-0 (9%)1-0 (4%)3-1 (3%)2-1 (2%)0-0 (1%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
88%
Home/Draw
1.19x
DC X2
Away/Draw
3.46x
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
BTTS
No
No 18%
Over 3.5
49%
Team Comparison
0Attack3
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.01.0
IF Gnistan
LDDWW
STABLE
IFK Mariehamn
LLLLL
DOWN
Squad & Player Stats
IF Gnistan
IFK Marieha…
| # | Player | Pos | App | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No player data | |||||||
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Veikkausliiga
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
IF Gnistanvs
0.20
IFK MariehamnGoal Probability
IF Gnistan
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
IFK Marieha…
0
82%
1
16%
2
2%
3
0%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
3-0 (16%)2-0 (14%)4-0 (13%)1-0 (9%)5-0 (8%)3-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 88% | 12% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 70% | 30% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 49% | 51% | - |
| 4.5 | 30% | 70% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 16% | 84% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 8% | 92% | UNDER |
League Position
#6
IF Gnistan+6
Gap#12
IFK Marieha…
WR 57% 19 pts
WR 0% 4 pts
IF Gnistan
12.0%
| Jul 04 | IF Gnis… v FC Lahti | 1-0 |
| Jun 27 | IF Gnis… v Vaasan … | 1-1 |
| Jun 23 | IF Gnis… v FF Jaro | 1-1 |
| Jun 17 | IF Gnis… v FC Lahti | 1-0 |
| Jun 13 | IF Gnis… v IFK Mar… | 0-3 |
| May 30 | IF Gnis… v SJK Sei… | 3-2 |
| May 23 | IF Gnis… v Ilves | 2-0 |
| May 16 | IF Gnis… v FF Jaro | 5-0 |
| May 09 | IF Gnis… v Vaasan … | 1-1 |
| May 05 | IF Gnis… v Inter T… | 2-0 |
IFK Mariehamn
0.0%
| Jul 04 | IFK Mar… v Vaasan … | 4-0 |
| Jun 27 | IFK Mar… v Inter T… | 0-2 |
| Jun 23 | IFK Mar… v HJK Hel… | 0-4 |
| Jun 18 | IFK Mar… v AC Oulu | 2-1 |
| Jun 13 | IFK Mar… v IF Gnis… | 0-3 |
| May 30 | IFK Mar… v HJK Hel… | 1-0 |
| May 26 | IFK Mar… v FC Lahti | 0-1 |
| May 23 | IFK Mar… v FF Jaro | 3-0 |
| May 16 | IFK Mar… v KuPS | 1-1 |
| May 13 | IFK Mar… v PuiU He… | 3-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Jun 13, 2026 | IFK Mariehamn | 0-3 | IF Gnistan |
| Jan 30, 2026 | IF Gnistan | 2-2 | IFK Mariehamn |
| Aug 09, 2025 | IFK Mariehamn | 2-5 | IF Gnistan |
| May 03, 2025 | IF Gnistan | 2-0 | IFK Mariehamn |
| Feb 08, 2025 | IF Gnistan | 4-0 | IFK Mariehamn |
| Sep 15, 2024 | IF Gnistan | 2-1 | IFK Mariehamn |
| Aug 21, 2024 | IF Gnistan | 2-1 | IFK Mariehamn |
| May 26, 2024 | IFK Mariehamn | 1-1 | IF Gnistan |
| Mar 01, 2024 | IFK Mariehamn | 0-0 | IF Gnistan |
| Oct 29, 2023 | IFK Mariehamn | 3-0 | IF Gnistan |
Decision Breakdown
P55+M80+S60 (86.4%)P55+M75+S65 (88.0%)ODDS60+M70 (77.4%)M85+S60 (75.3%)SOT+MOM (75.5%)RATING+GAP5 (76.2%)MOM75+P55 (77.0%)TRIPLE_SIGNAL (79.5%)QUAD_SIGNAL (82.0%)GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
64%
Momentum
94%
Standings
72%
Market
71%
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
IFK Mariehamn struggling (5L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.