Veikkausliiga · Jul 18, 2026 12:00
HJK Helsinki PWR 37
Vaasan Palloseura PWR 37
HJK Helsinki PWR 37
1-1
predicted
Vaasan Palloseura PWR 37
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (53% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
53%
Tier
STANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
2-0 (11%)3-0 (10%)2-1 (9%)1-0 (9%)3-1 (8%)1-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
60%
60%
Under 2.5
40%
BTTS
Yes 51%
Over 3.5
52%
Team Comparison
6Attack6
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
2.02.0
HJK Helsinki
DWLWD
STABLE
Vaasan Pallose…
WWLDW
STABLE
Squad & Player Stats
HJK Helsinki
Vaasan Pall…
| # | Player | Pos | App | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| - | Jesse Ă–st | Goa | 7.19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Leonel Montano | Def | 6.92 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Mads Borchers | Mid | 6.85 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Till Cissokho | Def | 6.67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Jere Kallinen | Mid | 6.65 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Liam Möller | Mid | 6.62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Alexander Ring | Mid | 6.53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Lucas Lingman | Mid | 6.49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Miska Ylitolva | Def | 6.48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Teemu Pukki | For | 6.27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Ville Tikkanen | Def | 5.51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Kaius Simojoki | Def | 0.05 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Pyry Mentu | Mid | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Alfie Cicale | For | 0.03 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Brooklyn Lyons-Fo… | Def | -0.02 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| - | Lassi Lappalainen | For | -0.04 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk0%
Accuracy0%
League excluded due to poor historical accuracy
Blacklisted league (<60% accuracy): Veikkausliiga
Expected Goals (xG)
2.53
HJK Helsinkivs
0.80
Vaasan Pallose…Goal Probability
HJK Helsinki
0
8%
1
20%
2
26%
3
22%
4
14%
Vaasan Pall…
0
45%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-1 (8%)1-2 (8%)2-1 (8%)2-2 (7%)1-3 (5%)2-3 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 89% | 11% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 73% | 27% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 52% | 48% | - |
| 4.5 | 33% | 67% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 18% | 82% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 9% | 91% | UNDER |
League Position
#5
HJK Helsinki-2
Gap#3
Vaasan Pall…
WR 43% 22 pts
WR 29% 27 pts
HJK Helsinki
12.0%
| Jul 11 | HJK Hel… v FC Lahti | 0-0 |
| Jul 01 | HJK Hel… v Ilves | 2-1 |
| Jun 27 | HJK Hel… v KuPS | 0-4 |
| Jun 23 | HJK Hel… v IFK Mar… | 0-4 |
| Jun 17 | HJK Hel… v Inter T… | 3-3 |
| Jun 13 | HJK Hel… v FF Jaro | 2-5 |
| Jun 09 | HJK Hel… v Honka | 1-7 |
| May 30 | HJK Hel… v IFK Mar… | 1-0 |
| May 26 | HJK Hel… v MyPa | 11-1 |
| May 22 | HJK Hel… v Vaasan … | 2-1 |
Vaasan Pallose…
14.0%
| Jul 10 | Vaasan … v SJK Sei… | 1-0 |
| Jul 04 | Vaasan … v IFK Mar… | 4-0 |
| Jun 30 | Vaasan … v Inter T… | 2-3 |
| Jun 27 | Vaasan … v IF Gnis… | 1-1 |
| Jun 23 | Vaasan … v AC Oulu | 5-1 |
| Jun 17 | Vaasan … v SJK Sei… | 1-2 |
| Jun 13 | Vaasan … v KuPS | 1-1 |
| Jun 10 | Vaasan … v KuPS | 0-0 |
| May 30 | Vaasan … v Turku PS | 1-0 |
| May 26 | Vaasan … v haka | 4-0 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| May 22, 2026 | Vaasan Pallos… | 2-1 | HJK Helsinki |
| Jul 05, 2025 | Vaasan Pallos… | 0-2 | HJK Helsinki |
| Apr 26, 2025 | HJK Helsinki | 3-1 | Vaasan Pallos… |
| Sep 20, 2024 | Vaasan Pallos… | 1-1 | HJK Helsinki |
| Sep 01, 2024 | Vaasan Pallos… | 1-3 | HJK Helsinki |
| May 17, 2024 | HJK Helsinki | 1-2 | Vaasan Pallos… |
| Oct 08, 2023 | Vaasan Pallos… | 3-2 | HJK Helsinki |
| Apr 19, 2023 | HJK Helsinki | 4-0 | Vaasan Pallos… |
| Apr 15, 2023 | Vaasan Pallos… | 0-1 | HJK Helsinki |
| Jul 16, 2022 | HJK Helsinki | 3-1 | Vaasan Pallos… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
50%
Momentum
90%
Standings
46%
Market
50%
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Vaasan Palloseura in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.