Kansallinen Liiga · Jul 18, 2026 11:00
Ilves
PWR 35
2-1
predicted
If Gnistan
PWR 35
63%
21%
16%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Ilves Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
50%
Tier
STANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
3-1 (6%)3-0 (6%)2-1 (4%)2-0 (4%)3-2 (3%)2-2 (2%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
61%
61%
Under 2.5
39%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 63%
Over 3.5
89%
89%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Ilves
LWWWW
STABLE
If Gnistan
WLLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk22%
Accuracy56%
AWAY_LEAKINGFORM_DOMINANT
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 0% = 35.1% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateElevated draw risk (22.1%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got STANDARD/2 rules)
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Ilvesvs
1.01
If GnistanGoal Probability
Ilves
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
If Gnistan
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
6%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
3-2 (5%)4-2 (5%)3-3 (4%)4-3 (4%)3-1 (4%)4-1 (4%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 100% | 0% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 96% | 4% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 89% | 11% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 78% | 22% | OVER |
| 5.5 | 63% | 37% | - |
| 6.5 | 47% | 53% | - |
League Position
#5
Ilves+1
Gap#6
If Gnistan
WR 33% 15 pts
WR 33% 12 pts
Ilves
16.0%
| Jun 27 | Ilves v HJK | 1-3 |
| Jun 14 | Ilves v VIFK Wo… | 0-3 |
| May 31 | Ilves v PK-35 V… | 0-2 |
| May 22 | Ilves v HPS Wom… | 1-0 |
| May 17 | Ilves v If Gnis… | 2-3 |
| May 09 | Ilves v KuPS Wo… | 2-3 |
| May 03 | Ilves v Åland U… | 4-1 |
| Apr 03 | Ilves v VIFK Wo… | 3-0 |
| Mar 28 | Ilves v PK-35 V… | 2-5 |
| Sep 28 | Ilves v JyPK | 5-1 |
If Gnistan
4.0%
| Jun 27 | If Gnis… v PK-35 V… | 3-0 |
| Jun 13 | If Gnis… v HPS Wom… | 4-0 |
| May 31 | If Gnis… v Åland U… | 1-4 |
| May 22 | If Gnis… v KuPS Wo… | 2-1 |
| May 17 | If Gnis… v Ilves | 2-3 |
| May 02 | If Gnis… v VIFK Wo… | 6-0 |
| Apr 24 | If Gnis… v PK-35 V… | 2-3 |
| Apr 04 | If Gnis… v HPS Wom… | 1-2 |
| Mar 28 | If Gnis… v Åland U… | 6-1 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| May 17, 2026 | If Gnistan | 2-3 | Ilves |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
52%
Market
50%
Key Factors
Ilves in strong form (4W in last 5)
If Gnistan struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.