Meistriliiga · Jul 11, 2026 14:00
Nõmme United PWR 35
Kuressaare PWR 35
Nõmme United PWR 35
3-1
predicted
Kuressaare PWR 35
53%
23%
24%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Kuressaare Win
Score
3-1
Confidence
42%
Tier
SKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (17%)0-0 (14%)1-1 (12%)2-0 (11%)0-1 (10%)2-1 (8%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.4x
DC X2
Away/Draw
2.15x
Over 2.5
32%
Under 2.5
68%
68%
BTTS
No 37%
Over 3.5
45%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Nõmme United
LWLWL
STABLE
Kuressaare
LLDLD
DOWN
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
HOME_LEAKING
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 4/9 draws (44%) = VERY HIGH riskAway team drew 2/5 recent games = HIGH draw riskConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.4%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29
Nõmme Unitedvs
0.71
KuressaareGoal Probability
Nõmme United
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4
3%
Kuressaare
0
49%
1
35%
2
12%
3
3%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
2-1 (10%)2-0 (9%)1-1 (8%)1-0 (8%)3-1 (8%)3-0 (7%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 97% | 3% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 67% | 33% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 45% | 55% | - |
| 4.5 | 26% | 74% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 13% | 87% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
League Position
#8
Nõmme United+1
Gap#9
Kuressaare
WR 33% 19 pts
WR 22% 17 pts
Nõmme United
8.0%
| Jul 03 | Nõmme U… v Kalju N… | 1-3 |
| Jun 20 | Nõmme U… v Laagri | 1-3 |
| Jun 17 | Nõmme U… v FC Leva… | 1-2 |
| Jun 13 | Nõmme U… v Trans N… | 1-2 |
| May 29 | Nõmme U… v Flora T… | 0-4 |
| May 20 | Nõmme U… v Kuressa… | 2-1 |
| May 15 | Nõmme U… v Tammeka | 3-1 |
| May 10 | Nõmme U… v Paide | 2-3 |
| May 02 | Nõmme U… v Vaprus | 2-3 |
| Apr 25 | Nõmme U… v Kuressa… | 2-1 |
Kuressaare
4.0%
| Jul 02 | Kuressa… v Flora T… | 0-3 |
| Jun 26 | Kuressa… v Vaprus | 1-0 |
| Jun 16 | Kuressa… v Trans N… | 0-0 |
| Jun 13 | Kuressa… v Laagri | 2-3 |
| May 31 | Kuressa… v Paide | 1-1 |
| May 20 | Kuressa… v Nõmme U… | 2-1 |
| May 17 | Kuressa… v Kalju N… | 0-2 |
| May 08 | Kuressa… v Tammeka | 1-0 |
| May 02 | Kuressa… v FC Leva… | 1-2 |
| Apr 25 | Kuressa… v Nõmme U… | 2-1 |
Head-to-Head (9)
| May 20, 2026 | Kuressaare | 2-1 | Nõmme United |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Nõmme United | 2-1 | Kuressaare |
| Feb 07, 2026 | Kuressaare | 3-3 | Nõmme United |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Kuressaare | 2-1 | Nõmme United |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Kuressaare | 4-1 | Nõmme United |
| Sep 01, 2024 | Nõmme United | 2-2 | Kuressaare |
| Jun 16, 2024 | Kuressaare | 1-1 | Nõmme United |
| May 04, 2024 | Nõmme United | 1-1 | Kuressaare |
| Feb 17, 2023 | Nõmme United | 3-1 | Kuressaare |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
68%
Standings
55%
Market
56%
High draw risk (50%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Nõmme United struggling (3L in last 5)
Kuressaare struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.