Pershaya Liga · Jul 11, 2026 11:30
Orsha PWR 35
Smorgon PWR 35
Orsha PWR 35
1 - 1
FT
Smorgon PWR 35
35%
27%
38%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Orsha Win
Score
1-1
Confidence
35%
Tier
SKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-3 (15%)0-2 (12%)0-1 (7%)1-3 (5%)1-2 (4%)1-1 (2%)
WRONG 1-1
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
2.0x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.43x
Over 2.5
59%
Under 2.5
41%
BTTS
No
No 25%
Over 3.5
70%
70%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Orsha
WLLLD
STABLE
Smorgon
LWLWW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 2/4 draws (50%) = VERY HIGH riskAway draws 50% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 70% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (34.4%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.30
Orshavs
3.72
SmorgonGoal Probability
Orsha
0
74%
1
22%
2
3%
3
0%
4
0%
Smorgon
0
2%
1
9%
2
17%
3
21%
4
19%
CORRECT SCORES
2-2 (7%)1-2 (6%)2-3 (6%)1-3 (5%)2-1 (5%)3-2 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 86% | 14% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 70% | 30% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 52% | 48% | - |
| 5.5 | 35% | 65% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 21% | 79% | UNDER |
League Position
#13
Orsha+1
Gap#14
Smorgon
WR 0% 14 pts
WR 17% 13 pts
Orsha
6.0%
| Jul 04 | Orsha v Bumprom | 1-3 |
| Jun 28 | Orsha v Minsk II | 0-4 |
| Jun 20 | Orsha v Osipovi… | 2-1 |
| Jun 13 | Orsha v Lida | 1-2 |
| Jun 07 | Orsha v Niva | 1-1 |
| May 30 | Orsha v FC Ener… | 0-2 |
| May 23 | Orsha v FC Slut… | 3-1 |
| May 20 | Orsha v Drut Be… | 0-7 |
| May 08 | Orsha v Ostrove… | 1-2 |
| May 01 | Orsha v Slonim | 0-2 |
Smorgon
12.0%
| Jul 05 | Smorgon v Volna P… | 1-3 |
| Jun 27 | Smorgon v Shakhte… | 2-0 |
| Jun 20 | Smorgon v Bumprom | 2-1 |
| Jun 14 | Smorgon v Minsk II | 1-0 |
| Jun 06 | Smorgon v Osipovi… | 0-5 |
| May 31 | Smorgon v Lida | 4-4 |
| May 27 | Smorgon v Vertical | 0-7 |
| May 23 | Smorgon v Niva | 3-0 |
| May 16 | Smorgon v FC Ener… | 0-1 |
| May 10 | Smorgon v FC Slut… | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (4)
| Oct 08, 2022 | Smorgon | 3-2 | Orsha |
| Jun 05, 2022 | Orsha | 1-1 | Smorgon |
| Sep 06, 2020 | Smorgon | 0-1 | Orsha |
| May 02, 2020 | Orsha | 0-0 | Smorgon |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
35%
Standings
46%
Market
35%
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Smorgon in strong form (3W in last 5)
Orsha struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.