Esiliiga A · Jul 18, 2026 16:00
Tallinna Kalev PWR 35
Tallinna Kalev PWR 35
4-2
predicted
Nõmme United II
PWR 35
57%
23%
20%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Tallinna Kalev Win
Score
4-2
Confidence
42%
Tier
SKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-2 (5%)3-1 (4%)3-3 (3%)2-2 (3%)2-1 (3%)3-0 (2%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
65%
65%
Under 2.5
35%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 87%
Over 3.5
93%
93%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Tallinna Kalev
DWWLL
STABLE
Nõmme United II
LDLLL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk26%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (25.8%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
4.50
Tallinna Kalevvs
2.08
Nõmme United IIGoal Probability
Tallinna Ka…
0
1%
1
5%
2
11%
3
17%
4
19%
Nõmme Unite…
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4
10%
CORRECT SCORES
3-3 (4%)4-3 (4%)3-2 (4%)4-2 (4%)3-4 (4%)4-4 (4%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 100% | 0% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 98% | 3% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 85% | 16% | OVER |
| 5.5 | 73% | 28% | OVER |
| 6.5 | 58% | 42% | - |
League Position
#6
Tallinna Ka…+2
Gap#8
Nõmme Unite…
WR 44% 22 pts
WR 30% 19 pts
Tallinna Kalev
10.0%
| Jul 03 | Tallinn… v Maardu | 3-3 |
| Jun 21 | Tallinn… v Nõmme K… | 5-1 |
| Jun 18 | Tallinn… v Nõmme U… | 1-2 |
| Jun 14 | Tallinn… v Flora II | 3-1 |
| May 31 | Tallinn… v FCI Lev… | 1-2 |
| May 27 | Tallinn… v Viimsi | 0-3 |
| May 24 | Tallinn… v Elva | 3-1 |
| May 14 | Tallinn… v FC Tall… | 1-1 |
| May 09 | Tallinn… v Tartu W… | 2-0 |
| May 01 | Tallinn… v Nõmme U… | 4-4 |
Nõmme United II
2.0%
| Jul 04 | Nõmme U… v FC Tall… | 4-3 |
| Jun 30 | Nõmme U… v Flora II | 3-3 |
| Jun 21 | Nõmme U… v Tartu W… | 5-2 |
| Jun 18 | Nõmme U… v Tallinn… | 1-2 |
| Jun 15 | Nõmme U… v Nõmme K… | 4-1 |
| May 25 | Nõmme U… v FCI Lev… | 4-2 |
| May 16 | Nõmme U… v Elva | 1-0 |
| May 13 | Nõmme U… v Flora II | 2-2 |
| May 09 | Nõmme U… v Maardu | 2-1 |
| May 01 | Nõmme U… v Tallinn… | 4-4 |
Head-to-Head (2)
| Jun 18, 2026 | Nõmme United … | 1-2 | Tallinna Kalev |
| May 01, 2026 | Tallinna Kalev | 4-4 | Nõmme United … |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
57%
Market
50%
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Nõmme United II struggling (4L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.