Back Stats
Esiliiga A · Jul 18, 2026 16:00

Nõmme Kalju II PWR 35
1-1
predicted

FCI Levadia II PWR 35
35% 27% 38%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
STANDARD: Draw expected (43% confidence)
Score
1-1
Confidence
43%
Tier STANDARD
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (11%)2-1 (9%)1-2 (8%)1-0 (8%)2-2 (6%)0-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
59%
Under 2.5
41%
BTTS Yes
Yes 62%
Over 3.5 80%
80%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Nõmme Kalju II DLLWL
STABLE
FCI Levadia II WWLLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
SKIP · 0 rules
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk27%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityClose positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateWR diff only 5% = 35.1% draw rateHome team draws 33% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateH2H: 2/7 draws (29%) = HIGH risk
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 0%, PPG diff 0.2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
Nõmme Kalju II
vs
1.42
FCI Levadia II
Goal Probability
Nõmme Kalju…
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4
6%
FCI Levadia…
0
24%
1
34%
2
24%
3
12%
4
4%
CORRECT SCORES
2-2 (6%)3-2 (6%)2-3 (5%)3-3 (5%)2-1 (4%)1-2 (4%)
Over/Under Lines
LineOverUnderPick
0.5 100% 0% OVER
1.5 97% 3% OVER
2.5 91% 9% OVER
3.5 80% 20% OVER
4.5 64% 36% -
5.5 47% 53% -
6.5 31% 69% UNDER
League Position
#9
Nõmme Kalju…
-2
Gap
#7
FCI Levadia…
WR 33% 18 pts WR 29% 21 pts
Nõmme Kalju II 6.0%
Jul 05 Nõmme K… v Elva 2-2
Jun 21 Nõmme K… v Tallinn… 5-1
Jun 18 Nõmme K… v Maardu 2-1
Jun 15 Nõmme K… v Nõmme U… 4-1
Jun 01 Nõmme K… v FC Tall… 1-3
May 28 Nõmme K… v Tartu W… 4-2
May 16 Nõmme K… v Viimsi 1-1
May 11 Nõmme K… v FCI Lev… 1-0
May 02 Nõmme K… v Elva 2-4
Apr 27 Nõmme K… v Tallinn… 0-4
FCI Levadia II 12.0%
Jul 05 FCI Lev… v Flora II 0-4
Jun 21 FCI Lev… v FC Tall… 4-0
Jun 18 FCI Lev… v Tartu W… 1-3
Jun 14 FCI Lev… v Viimsi 2-0
May 31 FCI Lev… v Tallinn… 1-2
May 28 FCI Lev… v Elva 1-3
May 25 FCI Lev… v Nõmme U… 4-2
May 16 FCI Lev… v Maardu 1-2
May 11 FCI Lev… v Nõmme K… 1-0
May 01 FCI Lev… v Viimsi 1-2
Head-to-Head (7)
May 11, 2026 Nõmme Kalju II 1-0 FCI Levadia II
Mar 07, 2026 FCI Levadia II 2-0 Nõmme Kalju II
Jan 31, 2026 FCI Levadia II 4-1 Nõmme Kalju II
Oct 20, 2025 FCI Levadia II 0-0 Nõmme Kalju II
Sep 15, 2025 FCI Levadia II 3-3 Nõmme Kalju II
Jun 30, 2025 Nõmme Kalju II 3-2 FCI Levadia II
Apr 28, 2025 Nõmme Kalju II 0-1 FCI Levadia II
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
46%
Market
50%
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
FCI Levadia II in strong form (3W in last 5)
Nõmme Kalju II struggling (3L in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.