Esiliiga A · Jul 18, 2026 16:00
Flora II PWR 35
Maardu PWR 35
Flora II PWR 35
4-1
predicted
Maardu PWR 35
39%
26%
35%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Flora II Win
Score
4-1
Confidence
42%
Tier
SKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-1 (7%)2-1 (6%)3-2 (6%)2-2 (5%)3-0 (5%)2-0 (4%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
74%
74%
Under 2.5
26%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 76%
Over 3.5
88%
88%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Flora II
LLDWW
DOWN
Maardu
WDWWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk24%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_LEAKING
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (24.1%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
3.42
Flora IIvs
1.56
MaarduGoal Probability
Flora II
0
3%
1
11%
2
19%
3
22%
4
19%
Maardu
0
21%
1
33%
2
26%
3
13%
4
5%
CORRECT SCORES
3-2 (5%)4-2 (5%)3-1 (4%)4-1 (4%)5-2 (4%)3-3 (4%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 100% | 0% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 95% | 5% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 87% | 13% | OVER |
| 4.5 | 75% | 25% | OVER |
| 5.5 | 60% | 40% | - |
| 6.5 | 44% | 56% | - |
League Position
#3
Flora II+2
Gap#5
Maardu
WR 56% 30 pts
WR 11% 23 pts
Flora II
10.0%
| Jul 09 | Flora II v Maardu | 3-2 |
| Jul 05 | Flora II v FCI Lev… | 0-4 |
| Jun 30 | Flora II v Nõmme U… | 3-3 |
| Jun 22 | Flora II v Elva | 0-3 |
| Jun 18 | Flora II v FC Tall… | 1-3 |
| Jun 14 | Flora II v Tallinn… | 3-1 |
| May 17 | Flora II v Tartu W… | 3-3 |
| May 13 | Flora II v Nõmme U… | 2-2 |
| May 09 | Flora II v Viimsi | 0-4 |
| May 01 | Flora II v Maardu | 5-0 |
Maardu
14.0%
| Jul 09 | Maardu v Flora II | 3-2 |
| Jul 03 | Maardu v Tallinn… | 3-3 |
| Jun 22 | Maardu v Viimsi | 1-0 |
| Jun 18 | Maardu v Nõmme K… | 2-1 |
| Jun 11 | Maardu v Elva | 4-3 |
| May 28 | Maardu v FC Tall… | 0-0 |
| May 24 | Maardu v Tartu W… | 0-1 |
| May 16 | Maardu v FCI Lev… | 1-2 |
| May 09 | Maardu v Nõmme U… | 2-1 |
| May 01 | Maardu v Flora II | 5-0 |
Head-to-Head (6)
| Jul 09, 2026 | Maardu | 3-2 | Flora II |
| May 01, 2026 | Flora II | 5-0 | Maardu |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Maardu | 0-0 | Flora II |
| Sep 15, 2021 | Flora II | 1-8 | Maardu |
| Aug 20, 2021 | Maardu | 1-3 | Flora II |
| May 21, 2021 | Flora II | 0-3 | Maardu |
Decision Breakdown
M85+S60 (75.3%)xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
92%
Standings
66%
Market
50%
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Maardu in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.