Premier League · Jul 12, 2026 13:00
Arsenal PWR 21
FC Vitebsk PWR 35
Arsenal PWR 21
2-1
predicted
FC Vitebsk PWR 35
51%
24%
25%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Arsenal Win
Score
2-1
Confidence
35%
Tier
SKIP
LIKELY SCORES
0-0 (15%)1-0 (14%)0-1 (14%)1-1 (14%)2-0 (7%)0-2 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
DC 1X
Home/Draw
1.61x
DC X2
Away/Draw
1.64x
Over 2.5
30%
Under 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
No 38%
Over 3.5
23%
Team Comparison
20Attack0
40Defense100
Goals/G
0.70.0
Conc/G
2.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Arsenal
WDWWL
STABLE
FC Vitebsk
WDLWL
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk37%
Accuracy38%
Full data available (Tier 1)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateHome team draws 33% at home = very high riskSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw rateH2H: 5/10 draws (50%) = VERY HIGH riskAway draws 43% away = VERY HIGHCombined DR 76% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 insteadElite league - reduced threshold
High draw risk (36.7%) - VETO 1X2
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
Arsenalvs
0.96
FC VitebskGoal Probability
Arsenal
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
FC Vitebsk
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
6%
4
1%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (13%)1-1 (13%)2-0 (9%)2-1 (9%)0-0 (9%)0-1 (9%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 91% | 9% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 70% | 30% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 44% | 56% | - |
| 3.5 | 23% | 77% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 4% | 96% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 99% | UNDER |
League Position
#8
Arsenal+2
Gap#10
FC Vitebsk
WR 33% 21 pts
WR 14% 17 pts
Arsenal
14.0%
| Jul 04 | Arsenal v Neman | 0-1 |
| Jun 26 | Arsenal v FC Gomel | 1-1 |
| Jun 21 | Arsenal v Bate Bo… | 2-3 |
| Jun 14 | Arsenal v FC Dnep… | 0-1 |
| May 30 | Arsenal v Dinamo … | 0-1 |
| May 23 | Arsenal v Dinamo … | 3-0 |
| May 17 | Arsenal v MKK-Dne… | 0-3 |
| May 08 | Arsenal v Baranov… | 1-1 |
| May 01 | Arsenal v FC Islo… | 2-2 |
| Apr 26 | Arsenal v Torpedo… | 3-3 |
FC Vitebsk
10.0%
| Jul 04 | FC Vite… v FC Dnep… | 1-0 |
| Jun 27 | FC Vite… v Dinamo … | 1-1 |
| Jun 20 | FC Vite… v Dinamo … | 1-2 |
| Jun 13 | FC Vite… v MKK-Dne… | 1-2 |
| May 31 | FC Vite… v Baranov… | 2-3 |
| May 23 | FC Vite… v FC Islo… | 3-0 |
| May 17 | FC Vite… v Torpedo… | 1-1 |
| May 09 | FC Vite… v Belshina | 1-0 |
| May 03 | FC Vite… v Slavia … | 0-0 |
| Apr 25 | FC Vite… v Naftan | 1-1 |
Head-to-Head (10)
| Oct 04, 2025 | FC Vitebsk | 1-0 | Arsenal |
| May 18, 2025 | Arsenal | 1-1 | FC Vitebsk |
| Aug 16, 2024 | FC Vitebsk | 0-0 | Arsenal |
| Apr 05, 2024 | Arsenal | 1-1 | FC Vitebsk |
| Sep 09, 2023 | Arsenal | 4-0 | FC Vitebsk |
| May 08, 2023 | FC Vitebsk | 0-1 | Arsenal |
| Feb 18, 2023 | FC Vitebsk | 5-1 | Arsenal |
| Aug 20, 2022 | FC Vitebsk | 3-0 | Arsenal |
| Apr 11, 2022 | Arsenal | 0-0 | FC Vitebsk |
| Aug 07, 2021 | FC Vitebsk | 0-0 | Arsenal |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
53%
Standings
59%
Market
41%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Arsenal in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.