First Division · Jul 16, 2026 12:00
Ekibastuz PWR 35
Shakhter Karagandy PWR 35
Ekibastuz PWR 35
2-4
predicted
Shakhter Karagandy PWR 35
27%
29%
44%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Shakhter Karagandy Win
Score
2-4
Confidence
42%
Tier
SKIP
LIKELY SCORES
1-1 (11%)1-2 (10%)0-1 (9%)0-2 (9%)1-3 (6%)2-1 (6%)
All Markets
1X2
Suggested
H
Over 2.5
56%
Under 2.5
44%
BTTS
Yes 57%
Over 3.5
54%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Ekibastuz
LWDDD
STABLE
Shakhter Karag…
WWWWW
UP
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeAWAY
Draw Risk28%
Accuracy38%
AWAY_FORM_MOMENTUM
Standings data available (Tier 2)Home team draws 67% at home = very high riskH2H: 1/3 draws (33%) = HIGH riskHome team drew 3/5 recent gamesCombined DR 81% = 50.7% draw rateConsider Asian Handicap or Under 2.5 instead
High draw risk (27.7%) - VETO 1X2 | Away prediction needs 76%+ confidence
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Ekibastuzvs
1.85
Shakhter Karag…Goal Probability
Ekibastuz
0
32%
1
37%
2
21%
3
8%
4
2%
Shakhter Ka…
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4
8%
CORRECT SCORES
0-2 (9%)0-3 (9%)1-2 (8%)1-3 (8%)0-4 (7%)0-1 (6%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 98% | 2% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 90% | 10% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 74% | 26% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 54% | 46% | - |
| 4.5 | 35% | 65% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 20% | 80% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 10% | 90% | UNDER |
League Position
#8
Ekibastuz-6
Gap#2
Shakhter Ka…
WR 17% 17 pts
WR 71% 31 pts
Ekibastuz
10.0%
| Jul 10 | Ekibast… v Sport A… | 2-4 |
| Jul 02 | Ekibast… v Khan Te… | 1-3 |
| Jun 26 | Ekibast… v Astana … | 1-1 |
| Jun 18 | Ekibast… v Tobol 2 | 3-3 |
| Jun 12 | Ekibast… v Arys | 1-1 |
| May 27 | Ekibast… v Turan T… | 4-0 |
| May 21 | Ekibast… v Akademi… | 2-2 |
| May 15 | Ekibast… v Jaiyq | 0-1 |
| May 08 | Ekibast… v Aktobe … | 1-1 |
| Apr 30 | Ekibast… v Yelimay… | 0-2 |
Shakhter Karag…
20.0%
| Jul 10 | Shakhte… v Turan T… | 1-0 |
| Jul 02 | Shakhte… v Akademi… | 1-2 |
| Jun 26 | Shakhte… v Taraz | 0-2 |
| Jun 19 | Shakhte… v Jaiyq | 3-0 |
| Jun 12 | Shakhte… v Khan Te… | 0-2 |
| May 26 | Shakhte… v Yelimay… | 1-0 |
| May 21 | Shakhte… v Astana … | 4-3 |
| May 15 | Shakhte… v Aktobe … | 7-0 |
| May 07 | Shakhte… v Kaspij … | 0-2 |
| May 01 | Shakhte… v Tobol 2 | 3-0 |
Head-to-Head (3)
| Apr 17, 2026 | Shakhter Kara… | 4-0 | Ekibastuz |
| Aug 08, 2025 | Shakhter Kara… | 4-0 | Ekibastuz |
| May 09, 2025 | Ekibastuz | 2-2 | Shakhter Kara… |
Decision Breakdown
Player
40%
Momentum
40%
Standings
38%
Market
50%
High draw risk (37%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Shakhter Karagandy in strong form (5W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.