First Division · Jul 17, 2026 14:00
Astana II PWR 35
Astana II PWR 35
4-1
predicted
Jaiyq
PWR 35
45%
25%
30%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
Astana II Win
Score
4-1
Confidence
35%
Tier
SKIP
LIKELY SCORES
3-1 (8%)3-0 (8%)2-1 (8%)2-0 (8%)1-1 (5%)1-0 (5%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
69%
69%
Under 2.5
31%
BTTS
Yes
Yes 62%
Over 3.5
62%
62%
Team Comparison
0Attack0
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
0.00.0
Astana II
LWDLW
STABLE
Jaiyq
WDLLW
STABLE
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeHOME
Draw Risk23%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Close positions (gap<=3) = 30.6% draw rateSimilar PPG = 32.6% draw ratePoints within 3 = 32.1% draw rateElevated draw risk (23.1%) - consider AHBelow minimum tier (need PREMIUM+, got SKIP/0 rules)
Expected Goals (xG)
3.15
Astana IIvs
1.03
JaiyqGoal Probability
Astana II
0
4%
1
14%
2
21%
3
22%
4
18%
Jaiyq
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
7%
4
2%
CORRECT SCORES
3-1 (8%)2-1 (8%)3-0 (7%)2-0 (7%)4-1 (6%)4-0 (5%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 99% | 1% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 93% | 7% | OVER |
| 2.5 | 80% | 20% | OVER |
| 3.5 | 62% | 38% | - |
| 4.5 | 43% | 57% | - |
| 5.5 | 26% | 74% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 14% | 86% | UNDER |
League Position
#4
Astana II+2
Gap#6
Jaiyq
WR 57% 20 pts
WR 43% 19 pts
Astana II
10.0%
| Jul 10 | Astana … v Yelimay… | 2-1 |
| Jul 02 | Astana … v Kaspij … | 6-1 |
| Jun 26 | Astana … v Ekibast… | 1-1 |
| Jun 18 | Astana … v Sport A… | 2-3 |
| Jun 11 | Astana … v Taraz | 1-2 |
| May 26 | Astana … v Khan Te… | 2-1 |
| May 21 | Astana … v Shakhte… | 4-3 |
| May 14 | Astana … v Tobol 2 | 1-2 |
| May 07 | Astana … v Turan T… | 0-3 |
| Apr 30 | Astana … v Arys | 3-1 |
Jaiyq
10.0%
| Jul 09 | Jaiyq v Tobol 2 | 1-0 |
| Jul 03 | Jaiyq v Turan T… | 2-2 |
| Jun 25 | Jaiyq v Akademi… | 0-1 |
| Jun 19 | Jaiyq v Shakhte… | 3-0 |
| Jun 11 | Jaiyq v Yelimay… | 0-1 |
| May 27 | Jaiyq v Aktobe … | 3-2 |
| May 22 | Jaiyq v Kaspij … | 0-1 |
| May 15 | Jaiyq v Ekibast… | 0-1 |
| May 08 | Jaiyq v Taraz | 2-1 |
| May 02 | Jaiyq v Sport A… | 0-5 |
Head-to-Head (1)
| Apr 16, 2026 | Jaiyq | 1-0 | Astana II |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
57%
Market
50%
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.