Serie B · Jul 12, 2026 21:00
Atlético Goianien… PWR 39
Fortaleza PWR 57
Atlético Goianien… PWR 39
0-1
predicted
Fortaleza PWR 57
41%
26%
33%
HomeDrawAway
Final Verdict
Prediction
ELITE: Fortaleza to win (95% confidence)
Score
0-1
Confidence
95%
Tier
Strong Pick
LIKELY SCORES
1-0 (21%)0-0 (15%)2-0 (14%)1-1 (11%)0-1 (8%)2-1 (7%)
All Markets
1X2
SKIP
Over 2.5
29%
Under 2.5
71%
71%
BTTS
No
No 30%
Over 3.5
15%
Team Comparison
11Attack62
100Defense100
Goals/G
0.00.0
Conc/G
0.00.0
Corners/G
0.00.0
Shots/G
2.09.0
Atlético Goian…
LWDDW
STABLE
Fortaleza
WWDLW
STABLE
Squad & Player Stats
Atlético Go…
Fortaleza
| # | Player | Pos | App | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Guilherme Marques | Mid | 6.89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 5 | Cristiano | Mid | 6.76 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 15 | Igor Henrique | Mid | 6.71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Marrony | Mid | 6.58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 16 | Leandro Vilela | Mid | 6.53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Gustavo Coutinho | For | 6.38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 19 | Bruno José | Mid | 6.35 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Indio | Mid | 6.32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 | Junior Barreto | Def | 6.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Geovany Soares | Mid | 6.26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Tito | Def | 6.24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Ewerthon | Mid | 6.14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Guilherme Lopes | Def | 6.07 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 1 | Paulo VĂtor | Goa | 5.97 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 |
| 17 | Redney Emanuel de… | Mid | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Paulo | Goa | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| 13 | Felipe GuimarĂŁes | Def | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Adriano Martins | Def | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 20 | Leo JacĂł | For | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | NatĂŁ | Def | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Stability Protocol
DecisionSKIP
OutcomeDRAW
Draw Risk34%
Accuracy38%
Standings data available (Tier 2)Teams too similar in form - high draw probabilityHome team draws 38% at home = very high riskH2H: 3/8 draws (38%) = HIGH riskHome team drew 2/5 recent gamesCombined DR 75% = 50.7% draw rate
SAME_STATS: Form WR diff 10%, PPG diff 0.1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Atlético Goian…vs
0.53
FortalezaGoal Probability
Atlético Go…
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4
4%
Fortaleza
0
59%
1
31%
2
8%
3
2%
4
0%
CORRECT SCORES
1-0 (16%)1-1 (13%)0-0 (13%)0-1 (11%)2-0 (9%)2-1 (8%)
Over/Under Lines
| Line | Over | Under | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 87% | 13% | OVER |
| 1.5 | 61% | 39% | - |
| 2.5 | 34% | 66% | UNDER |
| 3.5 | 15% | 85% | UNDER |
| 4.5 | 6% | 94% | UNDER |
| 5.5 | 2% | 98% | UNDER |
| 6.5 | 1% | 100% | UNDER |
League Position
#14
Atlético Go…-9
Gap#5
Fortaleza
WR 38% 21 pts
WR 25% 28 pts
Atlético Goian…
12.0%
| Jul 04 | Atlétic… v Novoriz… | 3-0 |
| Jun 28 | Atlétic… v Ponte P… | 2-0 |
| Jun 19 | Atlétic… v Sport R… | 1-1 |
| Jun 12 | Atlétic… v CRB | 3-3 |
| Jun 08 | Atlétic… v América… | 1-2 |
| May 30 | Atlétic… v Goiás | 1-1 |
| May 24 | Atlétic… v São Ber… | 0-1 |
| May 17 | Atlétic… v Criciúma | 1-1 |
| May 15 | Atlétic… v Athleti… | 0-0 |
| May 09 | Atlétic… v Ceará | 0-1 |
Fortaleza
14.0%
| Jul 03 | Fortale… v Ponte P… | 2-0 |
| Jun 28 | Fortale… v Sport R… | 2-1 |
| Jun 21 | Fortale… v CRB | 1-1 |
| Jun 16 | Fortale… v América… | 0-3 |
| Jun 09 | Fortale… v Nautico… | 0-1 |
| Jun 06 | Fortale… v Vitoria | 2-1 |
| Jun 03 | Fortale… v Vitoria | 1-2 |
| May 30 | Fortale… v Athleti… | 1-0 |
| May 28 | Fortale… v Sport R… | 0-2 |
| May 23 | Fortale… v Londrina | 3-0 |
Head-to-Head (8)
| Dec 05, 2024 | Atlético Goia… | 3-1 | Fortaleza |
| Jul 21, 2024 | Fortaleza | 3-1 | Atlético Goia… |
| Nov 06, 2022 | Fortaleza | 1-1 | Atlético Goia… |
| Jul 17, 2022 | Atlético Goia… | 0-1 | Fortaleza |
| Oct 02, 2021 | Fortaleza | 0-3 | Atlético Goia… |
| Jun 17, 2021 | Atlético Goia… | 0-0 | Fortaleza |
| Jan 24, 2021 | Atlético Goia… | 2-0 | Fortaleza |
| Oct 04, 2020 | Fortaleza | 0-0 | Atlético Goia… |
Decision Breakdown
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player
46%
Momentum
78%
Standings
32%
Market
50%
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Key Factors
Fortaleza in strong form (3W in last 5)
AI predictions based on historical data, odds analysis, and backtest validation. Results may vary.